Home / MLB Projections MLB / Angels @ Rays LAA @ TB

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

6-3  |  Road

4
FINAL
Tue, Apr 8 • 7:05 PM ET
George M. Steinbrenner Field
View Odds Details →

TAMPA BAY

RAYSTB

4-5  |  Home

3
Probable Pitchers
Nolan Schanuel
STARTING PITCHER

Nolan Schanuel

#18 | First Base
@
Taylor Walls
STARTING PITCHER

Taylor Walls

#6 | Shortstop
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Nolan Schanuel None-None -- -- -- --
Taylor Walls None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA --
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) --
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
71%
📊
RAYS
29%
ANGELS --
RAYS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 60%
Under 0 40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
TAMPA BAY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Tampa Bay)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 RaysTB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

49.0%

Rays Cover

51.0%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around TB -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TB)

LAA By 1-2 runs

18.3%

LAA By 3-4 runs

13.3%

TB By 1-2 runs

18.6%

TB By 3-4 runs

13.9%

AI Model Projected Score
3.72
LOS ANGELES
3.82
TAMPA BAY
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
5
TAMPA BAY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rays Loss
29% Win Prob
D
Sim Rays Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rays (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -0.1
C
Sim Rays (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.5
C
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 14, 2026 TB @ LAA 8 - 3
Jun 13, 2026 TB @ LAA 0 - 8
Jun 12, 2026 TB @ LAA 3 - 4
May 31, 2026 LAA @ TB 2 - 5
May 30, 2026 LAA @ TB 14 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
Tampa Bay TB
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲ 4.54
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲ .258
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .326
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .402
.679
OPS
▲ .728
154
Home Runs
▲ 169
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5) +54.0% more
Tampa Bay: 1.0 vs Los Angeles: 0.4
Runs per Game (Season) +12.4% more
Tampa Bay: 4.5 vs Los Angeles: 4.0
Home Runs (Season) +9.7% more
Tampa Bay: 169.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
OPS (Season) +4.9%
Tampa Bay: 72.8% vs Los Angeles: 67.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 3.7 4
TB Score 3.8 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 1.0 / 0.4 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 7.7 / 9.5 9.0 / 6.0
Home Runs 0.6 / 2.4 1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 9.4 / 9.0 7.0 / 11.0
Total Bases 11.1 / 18.4 18.0 / 10.0
Walks 2.7 / 4.6 6.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
TB Advantage
101-64-0 (61.2%)
Margin: 0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
TB Advantage
(53.3%)
Margin: 0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
TB
76-83-6
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TB
LAA
TB
LAA
ML
58% 95-68
59% 96-66
58% 95-68
55% 89-73
ATS
60% 97-66
60% 97-65
55% 90-73
51% 82-80
TTL
47% 73-81-9
53% 83-74-5
51% 78-75-10
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
CC Sabathia's Divided Playoff Heart: Brewers Advance, Yankees Ex…
yahoo 39 minutes ago
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
si 57 minutes ago
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Shrugs Off Yankee Stadium Boos: 'It Didn't Hur…
yahoo 6 hours, 36 minutes ago
Brewers vs. Dodgers NLCS Tickets: Prices, Schedule, and How to A…
sportingnews 6 hours, 47 minutes ago
Yankees' Faithful Boo as Another Season Ends in Disappointment: …
bleacherreport 6 hours, 50 minutes ago