TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
8-3 | Road
6
CHICAGO
CUBSCHC
8-5 | Home
10
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Joc Pederson
#3 | Designated Hitter@
STARTING PITCHER
Jacob Webb
#71 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Jacob Webb | None-None | 5.14 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
5.14
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
63%
CUBS
38%
RANGERS
--
CUBS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
42%
Under 0
58%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CHC -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHC)
TEX By 1-2 runs
16.3%
TEX By 3-4 runs
10.6%
CHC By 1-2 runs
19.6%
CHC By 3-4 runs
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas
4.11
TEXAS
Chicago
5.11
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Texas
3
TEXAS
Chicago
5
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cubs
Win
38% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cubs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cubs (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
C
Sim
Cubs (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 10, 2026
CHC @ TEX
0 - 3
May 9, 2026
CHC @ TEX
0 - 6
May 8, 2026
CHC @ TEX
7 - 1
Apr 9, 2025
TEX @ CHC
6 - 2
Apr 8, 2025
TEX @ CHC
6 - 10
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas
TEX
vs
Chicago
CHC
162
▲
Games Played
2
4.15
▲
Runs / Game
0.50
.242
▲
Avg (AVG)
.129
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.229
.396
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.145
.713
▲
OPS
.374
183
▲
Home Runs
0
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+86.6% more
Chicago: 8.8
vs
Texas: 4.7
Walks (L5)
+73.0% more
Chicago: 3.5
vs
Texas: 2.0
Total Bases (L5)
+69.2% more
Chicago: 13.6
vs
Texas: 8.1
Errors (L5)
+37.0% more
Chicago: 0.5
vs
Texas: 0.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEX Score
4.1
6
CHC Score
5.1
10
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.2
0.0 / 3.0
Hits
8.8 / 4.7
12.0 / 12.0
Home Runs
1.0 / 0.9
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.2 / 7.3
10.0 / 5.0
Total Bases
13.6 / 8.1
16.0 / 21.0
Walks
3.5 / 2.0
1.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
CHC
Advantage
89-75-0
(54.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
Advantage
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
CHC
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
CHC
91-70-3
O: 56.5% / U: 43.5%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHC
TEX
CHC
TEX
ML
58%
93-68
53%
86-76
51%
82-79
57%
91-70
ATS
61%
97-63-1
57%
92-70
47%
75-85-1
61%
98-63
TTL
52%
81-74-6
53%
78-70-14
46%
72-83-6
55%
81-66-14
Contextual Game News
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Guardians Outslug White Sox in Game 4 to Force Decisive ALDS Gam…
White Sox Collapse in Game 4 Sets Up Winner-Take-All Game 5
Jose Ramirez Ignites Guardians' Comeback, Forces Game 5 vs. Whit…
Guardians' Game 4 Pitching Edge Could Spell Trouble for White Sox