LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
7-3 | Road
4
TAMPA BAY
RAYSTB
4-6 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Reid Detmers
#48 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Kevin Kelly
#49 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Detmers | None-None | 2.08 | -- | 2.0 | 2 |
| Kevin Kelly | None-None | 3.60 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.08 Ldr
ERA
3.60
--
WHIP
--
2.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
2 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
78%
RAYS
22%
ANGELS
--
RAYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
45%
Under 0
55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAA -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)
LAA By 1-2 runs
18.8%
LAA By 3-4 runs
14.2%
TB By 1-2 runs
18.0%
TB By 3-4 runs
12.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
3.92
LOS ANGELES
Tampa Bay
3.7
TAMPA BAY
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Tampa Bay
5
TAMPA BAY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Angels
Loss
78% Win Prob
B
Sim
Rays
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Angels (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.2
B
Sim
Rays (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 14, 2026
TB @ LAA
8 - 3
Jun 13, 2026
TB @ LAA
0 - 8
Jun 12, 2026
TB @ LAA
3 - 4
May 31, 2026
LAA @ TB
2 - 5
May 30, 2026
LAA @ TB
14 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAA
vs
Tampa Bay
TB
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲
4.54
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲
.258
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.326
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.402
.679
OPS
▲
.728
154
Home Runs
▲
169
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+63.8% more
Los Angeles: 2.0
vs
Tampa Bay: 0.7
Total Bases (L5)
+14.2% more
Los Angeles: 15.6
vs
Tampa Bay: 13.4
Walks (L5)
+13.7% more
Los Angeles: 4.4
vs
Tampa Bay: 3.8
Strikeouts (L5)
+10.9% more
Los Angeles: 9.6
vs
Tampa Bay: 8.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAA Score
3.9
4
TB Score
3.7
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.6
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.2 / 8.3
7.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
0.7 / 2.0
2.0 / 4.0
Strikeouts
8.6 / 9.6
8.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
13.4 / 15.6
14.0 / 19.0
Walks
3.8 / 4.4
5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
TB
Advantage
101-64-0
(61.2%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
TB
Advantage
(53.3%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
TB
76-83-6
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TB
LAA
TB
LAA
ML
58%
95-68
59%
96-66
58%
95-68
55%
89-73
ATS
60%
97-66
60%
97-65
55%
90-73
51%
82-80
TTL
47%
73-81-9
53%
83-74-5
51%
78-75-10
52%
82-75-5
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