LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
7-4 | Road
11
TAMPA BAY
RAYSTB
5-6 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Ryan Johnson
#32 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Garrett Cleavinger
#60 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Johnson | None-None | 9.00 | -- | 1.1 | 1 |
| Garrett Cleavinger | None-None | 4.91 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
9.00
ERA
Ldr 4.91
--
WHIP
--
1.1 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
68%
RAYS
32%
ANGELS
--
RAYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
53%
Under 0
47%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
TAMPA BAY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Tampa Bay)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around TB -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TB)
LAA By 1-2 runs
17.5%
LAA By 3-4 runs
12.2%
TB By 1-2 runs
19.1%
TB By 3-4 runs
14.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
3.74
LOS ANGELES
Tampa Bay
4.21
TAMPA BAY
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Tampa Bay
5
TAMPA BAY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rays
Loss
32% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rays
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rays (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.5
B
Sim
Rays (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 14, 2026
TB @ LAA
8 - 3
Jun 13, 2026
TB @ LAA
0 - 8
Jun 12, 2026
TB @ LAA
3 - 4
May 31, 2026
LAA @ TB
2 - 5
May 30, 2026
LAA @ TB
14 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAA
vs
Tampa Bay
TB
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲
4.54
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲
.258
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.326
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.402
.679
OPS
▲
.728
154
Home Runs
▲
169
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+12.4% more
Tampa Bay: 4.5
vs
Los Angeles: 4.0
Home Runs (Season)
+9.7% more
Tampa Bay: 169.0
vs
Los Angeles: 154.0
OPS (Season)
+4.9%
Tampa Bay: 72.8%
vs
Los Angeles: 67.9%
Slugging Pct (Season)
+3.3%
Tampa Bay: 40.2%
vs
Los Angeles: 36.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAA Score
3.7
11
TB Score
4.2
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.4
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
7.8 / 7.9
6.0 / 14.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 2.6
0.0 / 6.0
Strikeouts
8.4 / 8.8
5.0 / 5.0
Total Bases
13.6 / 16.7
7.0 / 34.0
Walks
4.2 / 3.9
1.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
TB
Advantage
101-64-0
(61.2%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
TB
Advantage
(53.3%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
TB
76-83-6
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TB
LAA
TB
LAA
ML
58%
95-68
59%
96-66
58%
95-68
55%
89-73
ATS
60%
97-66
60%
97-65
55%
90-73
51%
82-80
TTL
47%
73-81-9
53%
83-74-5
51%
78-75-10
52%
82-75-5
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