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DETROIT

TIGERSDET

7-5  |  Road

7
FINAL
Fri, Apr 11 • 8:10 PM ET
Target Field
View Odds Details →

MINNESOTA

TWINSMIN

4-9  |  Home

6
Probable Pitchers
Brenan Hanifee
STARTING PITCHER

Brenan Hanifee

#75 | Relief Pitcher
@
Ryan Jeffers
STARTING PITCHER

Ryan Jeffers

#27 | Catcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Brenan Hanifee None-None 3.18 -- 0.2 --
Ryan Jeffers None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
3.18 ERA --
-- WHIP --
0.2 IP (Innings Pitched) --
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
76%
📊
TWINS
24%
TIGERS --
TWINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 63%
Under 0 37%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (Minnesota)
TigersDET (-3.5) 0 TwinsMIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

41.8%

Twins Cover

58.2%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIN -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

DET By 1-2 runs

16.7%

DET By 3-4 runs

11.1%

MIN By 1-2 runs

19.5%

MIN By 3-4 runs

15.9%

AI Model Projected Score
3.35
DETROIT
4.18
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
3
DETROIT
5
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Twins Loss
24% Win Prob
D
Sim Twins Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Twins (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -0.8
B
Sim Twins (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.5
C
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 9, 2026 MIN @ DET 2 - 7
Sep 8, 2026 MIN @ DET 3 - 2
Sep 7, 2026 MIN @ DET 4 - 5
Sep 2, 2026 DET @ MIN 11 - 6
Sep 1, 2026 DET @ MIN 2 - 15
Season Statistics Comparison
Detroit DET
vs
Minnesota MIN
162
Games Played
162
4.46
Runs / Game
▲ 4.56
.241
Avg (AVG)
▲ .245
.320 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .403
.720
OPS
.720
181
Home Runs
▲ 187
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5) +46.0% more
Minnesota: 1.2 vs Detroit: 0.8
Home Runs (Season) +3.3% more
Minnesota: 187.0 vs Detroit: 181.0
Runs per Game (Season) +2.2% more
Minnesota: 4.6 vs Detroit: 4.5
Batting Avg (Season) +0.4%
Minnesota: 24.5% vs Detroit: 24.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DET Score 3.4 7
MIN Score 4.2 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 1.2 / 0.8 2.0 / 0.0
Hits 6.6 / 8.0 12.0 / 10.0
Home Runs 0.9 / 1.4 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 6.9 / 9.6 8.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 11.6 / 14.1 16.0 / 12.0
Walks 2.2 / 3.3 3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
MIN Advantage
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
MIN
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.3
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
DET
MIN
DET
ML
52% 84-78
54% 86-73
50% 80-81
54% 87-73
ATS
59% 95-67
64% 101-58
59% 95-66
57% 91-69
TTL
51% 78-75-9
46% 69-81-9
53% 80-72-9
46% 69-81-10
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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