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CHICAGO

CUBSCHC

9-6  |  Road

0
FINAL
Fri, Apr 11 • 10:10 PM ET
Dodger Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

10-4  |  Home

3
Probable Pitchers
Ethan Roberts
STARTING PITCHER

Ethan Roberts

#39 | Relief Pitcher
@
Tanner Scott
STARTING PITCHER

Tanner Scott

#66 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Ethan Roberts None-None 0.00 -- 1.0 2
Tanner Scott None-None 3.38 -- 1.0 --
None-None W-L None-None
0.00 Ldr ERA 3.38
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
2 Ldr K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
CUBS
37%
📊
DODGERS
63%
CUBS --
DODGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
12.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 67%
Under 0 33%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Chicago)
CubsCHC (-3.5) 0 DodgersLAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cubs Cover

55.8%

Dodgers Cover

44.2%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CHC -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHC)

CHC By 1-2 runs

19.2%

CHC By 3-4 runs

15.2%

LAD By 1-2 runs

17.3%

LAD By 3-4 runs

11.9%

AI Model Projected Score
6.34
CHICAGO
5.76
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
3
CHICAGO
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cubs Loss
37% Win Prob
D
Sim Dodgers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Cubs (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -0.6
B
Sim Dodgers (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 12.1
C
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 5, 2026 LAD @ CHC 6 - 7
Aug 4, 2026 LAD @ CHC 1 - 5
Aug 3, 2026 LAD @ CHC 5 - 10
Apr 26, 2026 CHC @ LAD 0 - 6
Apr 25, 2026 CHC @ LAD 4 - 12
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago CHC
vs
Los Angeles LAD
2
Games Played
▲ 162
0.50
Runs / Game
▲ 4.94
.129
Avg (AVG)
▲ .257
.229
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .338
.145
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .424
.374
OPS
▲ .762
0
Home Runs
▲ 204
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5) +15.5% more
Chicago: 8.2 vs Los Angeles: 6.9
Home Runs (Season) +20400.0% more
Los Angeles: 204.0 vs Chicago: 0.0
Runs per Game (Season) +444.0% more
Los Angeles: 4.9 vs Chicago: 0.5
Walks (L5) +153.1% more
Los Angeles: 5.3 vs Chicago: 2.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHC Score 6.3 0
LAD Score 5.8 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.5 / 0.2 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 8.0 / 7.9 6.0 / 2.0
Home Runs 1.8 / 0.6 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 6.9 / 8.2 11.0 / 9.0
Total Bases 15.1 / 11.6 9.0 / 3.0
Walks 5.3 / 2.1 1.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHC
89-75-0 (54.3%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-:
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHC Advantage
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHC
91-70-3
O: 56.5% / U: 43.5% Total +/-: +1.0
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
CHC
LAD
CHC
ML
56% 92-73
58% 93-68
48% 79-87
51% 82-79
ATS
59% 98-67
61% 97-63-1
43% 72-94
47% 75-85-1
TTL
48% 77-82-6
52% 81-74-6
44% 70-90-6
46% 72-83-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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