SAN FRANCISCO
GIANTSSF
10-3 | Road
4
NEW YORK
YANKEESNYY
7-6 | Home
8
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Camilo Doval
#57 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Fernando Cruz
#63 | RP| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camilo Doval | None-None | 4.26 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
| Fernando Cruz | None-None | 4.26 | -- | 0.2 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.26
ERA
4.26
--
WHIP
--
1.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.2
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
74%
YANKEES
26%
GIANTS
--
YANKEES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
12.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
63%
Under 0
37%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.9
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.9 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around NYY -1.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYY)
SF By 1-2 runs
14.0%
SF By 3-4 runs
8.2%
NYY By 1-2 runs
19.7%
NYY By 3-4 runs
18.2%
AI Model Projected Score
San Francisco
5.26
SAN FRANCISCO
New York
7.11
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
San Francisco
5
SAN FRANCISCO
New York
3
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Yankees
Win
26% Win Prob
D
Sim
Giants
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Yankees (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.9
D
Sim
Giants (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 12.4
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 28, 2026
NYY @ SF
3 - 1
Mar 27, 2026
NYY @ SF
3 - 0
Mar 25, 2026
NYY @ SF
7 - 0
Apr 13, 2025
SF @ NYY
5 - 4
Apr 12, 2025
SF @ NYY
4 - 8
Season Statistics Comparison
San Francisco
SF
vs
New York
NYY
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.13
Runs / Game
▲
9.00
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲
.375
.306
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.447
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.594
.706
OPS
▲
1.041
178
▲
Home Runs
2
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+117.9% more
New York: 9.0
vs
San Francisco: 4.1
Walks (L5)
+48.2% more
New York: 5.7
vs
San Francisco: 3.8
Slugging Pct (Season)
+19.4%
New York: 59.4%
vs
San Francisco: 40.0%
On-Base Pct (Season)
+14.1%
New York: 44.7%
vs
San Francisco: 30.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SF Score
5.3
4
NYY Score
7.1
8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.3
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
5.9 / 7.4
11.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
0.5 / 1.0
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
9.8 / 10.2
12.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
8.9 / 13.9
17.0 / 12.0
Walks
5.7 / 3.8
6.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF
65-97-0
(40.1%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
NYY
Advantage
95-71-0
(57.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
NYY
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYY
SF
NYY
SF
ML
47%
76-85
49%
79-81
52%
85-77
53%
85-75
ATS
59%
95-66
62%
100-60
53%
86-76
52%
83-77
TTL
53%
81-73-7
55%
82-68-10
53%
82-72-7
46%
68-81-11
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