Home / MLB Projections MLB / Tigers @ Twins DET @ MIN

DETROIT

TIGERSDET

9-5  |  Road

1
FINAL
Sun, Apr 13 • 2:10 PM ET
Target Field
View Odds Details →

MINNESOTA

TWINSMIN

4-11  |  Home

5
Probable Pitchers
Dillon Dingler
STARTING PITCHER

Dillon Dingler

#13 | Catcher
@
Brooks Lee
STARTING PITCHER

Brooks Lee

#22 | Third Base
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Dillon Dingler None-None -- -- -- --
Brooks Lee None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA --
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) --
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
83%
📊
TWINS
17%
TIGERS --
TWINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 75%
Under 0 25%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Detroit)
TigersDET (-3.5) 0 TwinsMIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

50.7%

Twins Cover

49.3%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around DET -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)

DET By 1-2 runs

18.5%

DET By 3-4 runs

13.8%

MIN By 1-2 runs

18.3%

MIN By 3-4 runs

13.4%

AI Model Projected Score
3.86
DETROIT
3.79
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
4
DETROIT
6
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Tigers Loss
83% Win Prob
A
Sim Twins Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Tigers (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -0.1
A
Sim Twins (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.7
B
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 9, 2026 MIN @ DET 2 - 7
Sep 8, 2026 MIN @ DET 3 - 2
Sep 7, 2026 MIN @ DET 4 - 5
Sep 2, 2026 DET @ MIN 11 - 6
Sep 1, 2026 DET @ MIN 2 - 15
Season Statistics Comparison
Detroit DET
vs
Minnesota MIN
162
Games Played
162
4.46
Runs / Game
▲ 4.56
.241
Avg (AVG)
▲ .245
.320 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .403
.720
OPS
.720
181
Home Runs
▲ 187
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +33.0% more
Detroit: 1.0 vs Minnesota: 0.6
Total Bases (L5) +10.5% more
Detroit: 11.6 vs Minnesota: 10.4
Walks (L5) +8.6% more
Detroit: 2.9 vs Minnesota: 2.7
On-Base Pct (Season) +0.3%
Detroit: 32.0% vs Minnesota: 31.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DET Score 3.9 1
MIN Score 3.8 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 1.3 / 0.3 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 6.9 / 7.4 9.0 / 5.0
Home Runs 0.6 / 1.0 2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 7.8 / 7.5 12.0 / 3.0
Total Bases 10.4 / 11.6 17.0 / 9.0
Walks 2.7 / 2.9 1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
MIN Advantage
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
MIN
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.3
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
DET
MIN
DET
ML
52% 84-78
54% 86-73
50% 80-81
54% 87-73
ATS
59% 95-67
64% 101-58
59% 95-66
57% 91-69
TTL
51% 78-75-9
46% 69-81-9
53% 80-72-9
46% 69-81-10
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
CC Sabathia's Divided Playoff Heart: Brewers Advance, Yankees Ex…
yahoo 40 minutes ago
Yankees and Braves Urged to Cut Ties with Underperforming Stars …
si 48 minutes ago
Guardians' Game 4 Pitching Edge Could Spell Trouble for White Sox
yahoo 51 minutes ago
Guardians' Parker Messick Aims to Force Game 5 as Rookie Strikeo…
yardbarker 59 minutes ago
Dodgers Outlast Braves in NLDS Game 4, Inch Closer to Three-Peat
hawaiitribune_herald 12 hours, 54 minutes ago