CHICAGO
CUBSCHC
10-7 | Road
4
LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
11-5 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Ethan Roberts
#39 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jack Dreyer
#86 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Roberts | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 0.2 | -- |
| Jack Dreyer | None-None | 0.87 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
0.00 Ldr
ERA
0.87
--
WHIP
--
0.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
CUBS
39%
DODGERS
61%
CUBS
--
DODGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CHC -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHC)
CHC By 1-2 runs
19.7%
CHC By 3-4 runs
16.8%
LAD By 1-2 runs
15.8%
LAD By 3-4 runs
10.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
6.3
CHICAGO
Los Angeles
5.1
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
Chicago
4
CHICAGO
Los Angeles
6
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cubs
Win
39% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dodgers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cubs (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.2
B
Sim
Dodgers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 11.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 5, 2026
LAD @ CHC
6 - 7
Aug 4, 2026
LAD @ CHC
1 - 5
Aug 3, 2026
LAD @ CHC
5 - 10
Apr 26, 2026
CHC @ LAD
0 - 6
Apr 25, 2026
CHC @ LAD
4 - 12
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHC
vs
Los Angeles
LAD
2
Games Played
▲
162
0.50
Runs / Game
▲
4.94
.129
Avg (AVG)
▲
.257
.229
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.338
.145
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.424
.374
OPS
▲
.762
0
Home Runs
▲
204
Key Model Drivers
Total Bases (L5)
+42.0% more
Chicago: 18.5
vs
Los Angeles: 10.7
Hits (L5)
+37.1% more
Chicago: 11.0
vs
Los Angeles: 6.9
Home Runs (L5)
+35.8% more
Chicago: 1.6
vs
Los Angeles: 1.0
Strikeouts (L5)
+14.0% more
Chicago: 8.0
vs
Los Angeles: 6.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHC Score
6.3
4
LAD Score
5.1
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.1
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.9 / 11.0
7.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
1.0 / 1.6
0.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
6.9 / 8.0
13.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
10.7 / 18.5
8.0 / 20.0
Walks
3.9 / 1.6
2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHC
89-75-0
(54.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHC
Advantage
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHC
91-70-3
O: 56.5% / U: 43.5%
Total +/-: +1.0
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
CHC
LAD
CHC
ML
56%
92-73
58%
93-68
48%
79-87
51%
82-79
ATS
59%
98-67
61%
97-63-1
43%
72-94
47%
75-85-1
TTL
48%
77-82-6
52%
81-74-6
44%
70-90-6
46%
72-83-6
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