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COLORADO

ROCKIESCOL

3-12  |  Road

3
FINAL
Mon, Apr 14 • 10:10 PM ET
Dodger Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

11-6  |  Home

5
Probable Pitchers
Hunter Goodman
STARTING PITCHER

Hunter Goodman

#15 | Catcher
@
Tanner Scott
STARTING PITCHER

Tanner Scott

#66 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Hunter Goodman None-None -- -- -- --
Tanner Scott None-None 3.00 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 3.00
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKIES
12%
📊
DODGERS
88%
ROCKIES --
DODGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 45%
Under 0 55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 points (Los Angeles)
RockiesCOL (-3.5) 0 DodgersLAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rockies Cover

35.1%

Dodgers Cover

64.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

COL By 1-2 runs

14.9%

COL By 3-4 runs

9.1%

LAD By 1-2 runs

19.7%

LAD By 3-4 runs

17.5%

AI Model Projected Score
2.31
COLORADO
3.84
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
2
COLORADO
6
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Dodgers Win
88% Win Prob
A
Sim Dodgers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Dodgers (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.5
D
Sim Dodgers (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 6.2
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 19, 2026 LAD @ COL 6 - 4
Aug 18, 2026 LAD @ COL 7 - 6
Aug 17, 2026 LAD @ COL 11 - 5
Jul 8, 2026 COL @ LAD 3 - 4
Jul 7, 2026 COL @ LAD 4 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Colorado COL
vs
Los Angeles LAD
162
Games Played
162
4.64
Runs / Game
▲ 4.94
.254
Avg (AVG)
▲ .257
.322
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .338
.417
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .424
.739
OPS
▲ .762
180
Home Runs
▲ 204
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5) +46.1% more
Los Angeles: 8.9 vs Colorado: 6.1
Hits (L5) +43.5% more
Los Angeles: 6.9 vs Colorado: 4.8
Home Runs (L5) +40.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.7 vs Colorado: 0.3
Total Bases (L5) +38.0% more
Los Angeles: 9.8 vs Colorado: 7.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COL Score 2.3 3
LAD Score 3.8 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 1.0 1.0 / 1.0
Hits 6.9 / 4.8 10.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 0.7 / 0.3 2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 8.9 / 6.1 9.0 / 3.0
Total Bases 9.8 / 7.1 18.0 / 14.0
Walks 3.3 / 4.2 2.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COL
58-104-0 (35.8%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COL Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0% Total +/-: +0.6
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
COL
LAD
COL
ML
56% 92-73
60% 97-64
48% 79-87
55% 88-73
ATS
59% 98-67
60% 97-64
43% 72-94
52% 83-78
TTL
48% 77-82-6
60% 93-62-6
44% 70-90-6
50% 77-78-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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