LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
9-6 | Road
0
TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
9-7 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Ryan Johnson
#32 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Ezequiel Duran
#20 | Shortstop| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Johnson | None-None | 8.53 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| Ezequiel Duran | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
8.53
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
2
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
54%
RANGERS
46%
ANGELS
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
53%
Under 0
47%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.1
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.1 points (Texas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around TEX -2.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)
LAA By 1-2 runs
13.4%
LAA By 3-4 runs
7.6%
TEX By 1-2 runs
19.5%
TEX By 3-4 runs
18.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
3.15
LOS ANGELES
Texas
5.22
TEXAS
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
4
LOS ANGELES
Texas
6
TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rangers
Win
46% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rangers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.1
D
Sim
Rangers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 23, 2026
LAA @ TEX
3 - 5
Aug 22, 2026
LAA @ TEX
3 - 0
Aug 21, 2026
LAA @ TEX
1 - 2
Aug 13, 2026
TEX @ LAA
0 - 7
Aug 12, 2026
TEX @ LAA
2 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAA
vs
Texas
TEX
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲
4.15
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲
.242
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.317
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.396
.679
OPS
▲
.713
154
Home Runs
▲
183
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+22.0% more
Texas: 0.6
vs
Los Angeles: 0.3
Home Runs (Season)
+18.8% more
Texas: 183.0
vs
Los Angeles: 154.0
Strikeouts (L5)
+16.5% more
Texas: 6.9
vs
Los Angeles: 5.9
OPS (Season)
+3.4%
Texas: 71.3%
vs
Los Angeles: 67.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAA Score
3.2
0
TEX Score
5.2
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.3
0.0 / 3.0
Hits
7.0 / 8.9
8.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
1.0 / 2.7
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
6.9 / 5.9
11.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
11.5 / 18.1
12.0 / 6.0
Walks
2.2 / 4.8
2.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
TEX
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEX
LAA
TEX
LAA
ML
53%
86-76
59%
96-66
57%
91-70
55%
89-73
ATS
57%
92-70
60%
97-65
61%
98-63
51%
82-80
TTL
53%
78-70-14
53%
83-74-5
55%
81-66-14
52%
82-75-5
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