COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
3-13 | Road
2
LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
12-6 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jimmy Herget
#44 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Alex Vesia
#51 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Herget | None-None | 3.00 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
| Alex Vesia | None-None | 2.70 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.00
ERA
Ldr 2.70
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKIES
10%
DODGERS
90%
ROCKIES
--
DODGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.2
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.2 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -2.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)
COL By 1-2 runs
12.9%
COL By 3-4 runs
7.2%
LAD By 1-2 runs
19.4%
LAD By 3-4 runs
18.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
1.93
COLORADO
Los Angeles
4.17
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
Colorado
3
COLORADO
Los Angeles
7
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers
Win
90% Win Prob
A
Sim
Dodgers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.2
D
Sim
Dodgers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 19, 2026
LAD @ COL
6 - 4
Aug 18, 2026
LAD @ COL
7 - 6
Aug 17, 2026
LAD @ COL
11 - 5
Jul 8, 2026
COL @ LAD
3 - 4
Jul 7, 2026
COL @ LAD
4 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Colorado
COL
vs
Los Angeles
LAD
162
Games Played
162
4.64
Runs / Game
▲
4.94
.254
Avg (AVG)
▲
.257
.322
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.338
.417
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.424
.739
OPS
▲
.762
180
Home Runs
▲
204
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5)
+76.3% more
Los Angeles: 8.9
vs
Colorado: 5.1
Home Runs (L5)
+60.0% more
Los Angeles: 1.1
vs
Colorado: 0.5
Hits (L5)
+35.0% more
Los Angeles: 8.0
vs
Colorado: 5.9
Total Bases (L5)
+33.3% more
Los Angeles: 12.5
vs
Colorado: 9.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
1.9
2
LAD Score
4.2
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 1.0
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.0 / 5.9
10.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 0.5
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.9 / 5.1
10.0 / 5.0
Total Bases
12.5 / 9.4
15.0 / 8.0
Walks
2.9 / 4.5
5.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COL
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
COL
LAD
COL
ML
56%
92-73
60%
97-64
48%
79-87
55%
88-73
ATS
59%
98-67
60%
97-64
43%
72-94
52%
83-78
TTL
48%
77-82-6
60%
93-62-6
44%
70-90-6
50%
77-78-6
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