KANSAS CITY
ROYALSKC
8-10 | Road
3
NEW YORK
YANKEESNYY
10-7 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Daniel Lynch IV
#41 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Fernando Cruz
#63 | RP| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lynch IV | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Fernando Cruz | None-None | 2.79 | -- | 2.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
0.00 Ldr
ERA
2.79
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 2.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
ROYALS
36%
YANKEES
64%
ROYALS
--
YANKEES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
35%
Under 0
65%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around NYY -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYY)
KC By 1-2 runs
13.7%
KC By 3-4 runs
7.9%
NYY By 1-2 runs
19.6%
NYY By 3-4 runs
18.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Kansas City
3.25
KANSAS CITY
New York
5.22
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Kansas City
6
KANSAS CITY
New York
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Yankees
Win
64% Win Prob
C
Sim
Royals
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Yankees (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
Royals (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 27, 2026
NYY @ KC
7 - 0
May 26, 2026
NYY @ KC
15 - 1
May 25, 2026
NYY @ KC
4 - 3
Apr 19, 2026
KC @ NYY
0 - 7
Apr 18, 2026
KC @ NYY
4 - 13
Season Statistics Comparison
Kansas City
KC
vs
New York
NYY
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.26
Runs / Game
▲
9.00
.247
Avg (AVG)
▲
.375
.316
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.447
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.594
.718
OPS
▲
1.041
170
▲
Home Runs
2
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+111.3% more
New York: 9.0
vs
Kansas City: 4.3
Home Runs (L5)
+42.0% more
New York: 1.2
vs
Kansas City: 0.8
Total Bases (L5)
+41.4% more
New York: 12.4
vs
Kansas City: 8.8
Hits (L5)
+38.2% more
New York: 7.1
vs
Kansas City: 5.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
KC Score
3.3
3
NYY Score
5.2
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.7
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.1 / 5.2
8.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
1.2 / 0.8
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
10.0 / 8.7
6.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
12.4 / 8.8
14.0 / 7.0
Walks
4.0 / 3.5
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KC
69-93-0
(42.6%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
NYY
Advantage
95-71-0
(57.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KC
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
NYY
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
KC
73-85-4
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYY
KC
NYY
KC
ML
47%
76-85
55%
89-72
52%
85-77
56%
90-70
ATS
59%
95-66
57%
91-70
53%
86-76
58%
93-67
TTL
53%
81-73-7
58%
90-64-7
53%
82-72-7
54%
83-70-7
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