ST. LOUIS
CARDINALSSTL
9-10 | Road
4
NEW YORK
METSNYM
12-7 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Ryne Stanek
#55 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Brett Baty
#7 | Third Base| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryne Stanek | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Brett Baty | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
0.00
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
1
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINALS
34%
METS
66%
CARDINALS
--
METS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
22%
Under 0
78%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.1
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.1 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around NYM -3.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYM)
STL By 1-2 runs
10.3%
STL By 3-4 runs
5.2%
NYM By 1-2 runs
18.2%
NYM By 3-4 runs
19.6%
AI Model Projected Score
St. Louis
3.08
ST. LOUIS
New York
6.19
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
St. Louis
3
ST. LOUIS
New York
5
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mets
Win
66% Win Prob
C
Sim
Mets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mets (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.1
D
Sim
Mets (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 11, 2026
STL @ NYM
4 - 5
Jun 10, 2026
STL @ NYM
9 - 2
Jun 9, 2026
STL @ NYM
7 - 0
Apr 1, 2026
NYM @ STL
1 - 2
Mar 31, 2026
NYM @ STL
0 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
St. Louis
STL
vs
New York
NYM
162
Games Played
162
4.44
▲
Runs / Game
4.31
.239
Avg (AVG)
.239
.313
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.378
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.395
.691
OPS
▲
.705
167
Home Runs
▲
204
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+77.6% more
New York: 3.1
vs
St. Louis: 1.7
Strikeouts (L5)
+70.9% more
New York: 9.9
vs
St. Louis: 5.8
Home Runs (L5)
+36.0% more
New York: 0.9
vs
St. Louis: 0.5
Total Bases (L5)
+35.5% more
New York: 13.5
vs
St. Louis: 10.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STL Score
3.1
4
NYM Score
6.2
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.1
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
8.3 / 6.9
9.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 0.5
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
9.9 / 5.8
15.0 / 2.0
Total Bases
13.5 / 10.0
21.0 / 12.0
Walks
3.1 / 1.7
0.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STL
Advantage
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
NYM
74-88-0
(45.7%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STL
Advantage
(53.7%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
NYM
(46.3%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
STL
74-80-8
O: 48.1% / U: 51.9%
Total +/-: +0.7
NYM
77-73-12
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYM
STL
NYM
STL
ML
50%
79-80
53%
85-74
48%
76-83
52%
84-77
ATS
58%
93-66
56%
89-70
49%
78-81
53%
85-76
TTL
55%
80-66-13
46%
68-81-10
51%
74-72-13
50%
76-75-10
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