WASHINGTON
NATIONALSWSH
7-12 | Road
12
COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
3-15 | Home
11
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Nasim Nunez
#26 | Second Base@
STARTING PITCHER
Jimmy Herget
#44 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasim Nunez | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Jimmy Herget | None-None | 2.45 | -- | 1.1 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
2.45
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.1
--
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
NATIONALS
74%
ROCKIES
26%
NATIONALS
--
ROCKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around WSH -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)
WSH By 1-2 runs
19.5%
WSH By 3-4 runs
15.9%
COL By 1-2 runs
16.6%
COL By 3-4 runs
11.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
3.4
WASHINGTON
Colorado
2.54
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Washington
4
WASHINGTON
Colorado
5
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Nationals
Win
74% Win Prob
B
Sim
Rockies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Nationals (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.9
D
Sim
Rockies (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 27, 2026
COL @ WSH
1 - 7
Aug 26, 2026
COL @ WSH
13 - 1
Aug 25, 2026
COL @ WSH
3 - 1
Aug 24, 2026
COL @ WSH
3 - 13
Jul 22, 2026
WSH @ COL
8 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
Washington
WSH
vs
Colorado
COL
162
Games Played
162
5.07
▲
Runs / Game
4.64
.246
Avg (AVG)
▲
.254
.321
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.322
.423
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.417
.744
▲
OPS
.739
210
▲
Home Runs
180
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5)
+15.5% more
Washington: 7.9
vs
Colorado: 6.7
Home Runs (Season)
+14.3% more
Washington: 210.0
vs
Colorado: 180.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+8.5% more
Washington: 5.1
vs
Colorado: 4.6
Slugging Pct (Season)
+0.6%
Washington: 42.3%
vs
Colorado: 41.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
3.4
12
COL Score
2.5
11
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.3
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.4 / 5.8
8.0 / 12.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 0.3
1.0 / 4.0
Strikeouts
6.7 / 7.9
10.0 / 17.0
Total Bases
12.3 / 7.4
17.0 / 25.0
Walks
5.1 / 3.4
5.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
Advantage
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
Advantage
(56.2%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
85-69-8
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +1.3
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
WSH
COL
WSH
ML
60%
97-64
57%
92-69
55%
88-73
54%
87-74
ATS
60%
97-64
58%
93-68
52%
83-78
57%
91-70
TTL
60%
93-62-6
50%
77-78-6
50%
77-78-6
42%
65-90-6
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