MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
7-14 | Road
2
ATLANTA
BRAVESATL
7-13 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Joe Ryan
#41 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Grant Holmes
#66 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Ryan | None-None | 4.00 | -- | 5.0 | 5 |
| Grant Holmes | None-None | 3.22 | -- | 5.2 | 7 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.00
ERA
Ldr 3.22
--
WHIP
--
5.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 5.2
5
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 7
AI Model Win Probability
TWINS
48%
BRAVES
52%
TWINS
--
BRAVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Atlanta)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around ATL -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
MIN By 1-2 runs
15.9%
MIN By 3-4 runs
10.2%
ATL By 1-2 runs
19.7%
ATL By 3-4 runs
16.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
3.19
MINNESOTA
Atlanta
4.33
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Atlanta
5
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Braves
Win
52% Win Prob
D
Sim
Braves
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Braves (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.1
B
Sim
Braves (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 19, 2026
ATL @ MIN
4 - 6
Aug 18, 2026
ATL @ MIN
1 - 4
Aug 17, 2026
ATL @ MIN
2 - 4
Apr 20, 2025
MIN @ ATL
2 - 6
Apr 19, 2025
MIN @ ATL
3 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Minnesota
MIN
vs
Atlanta
ATL
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.56
Runs / Game
▲
5.00
.245
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.324
.403
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.433
.720
OPS
▲
.757
187
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+59.0% more
Atlanta: 1.4
vs
Minnesota: 0.8
Walks (L5)
+38.5% more
Atlanta: 3.6
vs
Minnesota: 2.6
Hits (L5)
+18.2% more
Atlanta: 8.8
vs
Minnesota: 7.5
Total Bases (L5)
+15.3% more
Atlanta: 14.3
vs
Minnesota: 12.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
3.2
2
ATL Score
4.3
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.6
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.8 / 7.5
8.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
1.4 / 0.8
3.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.5 / 8.3
10.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
14.3 / 12.4
18.0 / 9.0
Walks
3.6 / 2.6
4.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
ATL
Advantage
97-72-0
(57.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
ATL
Advantage
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
MIN
ATL
MIN
ML
46%
77-90
52%
84-78
54%
90-78
50%
80-81
ATS
57%
96-71
59%
95-67
52%
87-81
59%
95-66
TTL
53%
83-73-11
51%
78-75-9
49%
76-80-11
53%
80-72-9
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