LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
15-7 | Road
1
TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
13-8 | Home
0
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Tanner Scott
#66 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jake Burger
#21 | First Base| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | None-None | 2.25 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
| Jake Burger | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.25
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
57%
RANGERS
43%
DODGERS
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
70%
Under 0
30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAD -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)
LAD By 1-2 runs
19.3%
LAD By 3-4 runs
15.4%
TEX By 1-2 runs
17.1%
TEX By 3-4 runs
11.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
4.32
LOS ANGELES
Texas
3.65
TEXAS
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
4
LOS ANGELES
Texas
6
TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Dodgers
Win
57% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Dodgers (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.7
D
Sim
Rangers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
B
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 12, 2026
TEX @ LAD
5 - 2
Apr 11, 2026
TEX @ LAD
3 - 6
Apr 10, 2026
TEX @ LAD
7 - 8
Apr 20, 2025
LAD @ TEX
1 - 0
Apr 19, 2025
LAD @ TEX
3 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAD
vs
Texas
TEX
162
Games Played
162
4.94
▲
Runs / Game
4.15
.257
▲
Avg (AVG)
.242
.338
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.424
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.396
.762
▲
OPS
.713
204
▲
Home Runs
183
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+30.5% more
Los Angeles: 2.2
vs
Texas: 1.5
Runs per Game (Season)
+16.0% more
Los Angeles: 4.9
vs
Texas: 4.2
Home Runs (Season)
+10.3% more
Los Angeles: 204.0
vs
Texas: 183.0
Strikeouts (L5)
+8.5% more
Los Angeles: 10.1
vs
Texas: 9.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAD Score
4.3
1
TEX Score
3.7
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.1
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.4 / 7.2
5.0 / 3.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 1.2
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
9.3 / 10.1
5.0 / 11.0
Total Bases
12.5 / 12.1
5.0 / 4.0
Walks
1.5 / 2.2
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
TEX
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
TEX
Advantage
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEX
LAD
TEX
LAD
ML
53%
86-76
56%
92-73
57%
91-70
48%
79-87
ATS
57%
92-70
59%
98-67
61%
98-63
43%
72-94
TTL
53%
78-70-14
48%
77-82-6
55%
81-66-14
44%
70-90-6
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