SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
12-10 | Road
3
BOSTON
RED SOXBOS
13-11 | Home
8
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Eduard Bazardo
#83 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Garrett Whitlock
#22 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduard Bazardo | None-None | 5.27 | -- | 1.1 | 1 |
| Garrett Whitlock | None-None | 1.84 | -- | 2.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
5.27
ERA
Ldr 1.84
--
WHIP
--
1.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 2.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
50%
RED SOX
50%
MARINERS
--
RED SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around BOS -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
SEA By 1-2 runs
16.7%
SEA By 3-4 runs
11.2%
BOS By 1-2 runs
19.5%
BOS By 3-4 runs
15.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
4.73
SEATTLE
Boston
5.55
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Boston
5
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Red Sox
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Sox
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Red Sox (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.8
B
Sim
Red Sox (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 2, 2026
SEA @ BOS
8 - 3
Sep 1, 2026
SEA @ BOS
9 - 6
Aug 31, 2026
SEA @ BOS
8 - 9
Jun 21, 2026
BOS @ SEA
1 - 3
Jun 20, 2026
BOS @ SEA
5 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Boston
BOS
162
▲
Games Played
2
4.10
▲
Runs / Game
1.00
.233
▲
Avg (AVG)
.117
.314
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.159
.379
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.250
.693
▲
OPS
.409
182
▲
Home Runs
2
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+92.0% more
Boston: 1.0
vs
Seattle: 0.1
Strikeouts (L5)
+22.9% more
Boston: 10.0
vs
Seattle: 8.1
Home Runs (Season)
+98.9% more
Seattle: 182.0
vs
Boston: 2.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+75.6% more
Seattle: 4.1
vs
Boston: 1.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
4.7
3
BOS Score
5.6
8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.0 / 0.1
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
7.6 / 9.9
11.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
1.4 / 2.2
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
10.0 / 8.1
5.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
13.4 / 18.1
19.0 / 11.0
Walks
2.9 / 3.8
6.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
BOS
Advantage
87-77-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
BOS
Advantage
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
BOS
74-86-4
O: 46.3% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
SEA
BOS
SEA
ML
50%
80-80
50%
81-81
47%
76-87
52%
85-77
ATS
58%
93-67
60%
98-64
48%
79-84
59%
95-67
TTL
46%
72-83-5
56%
85-67-10
47%
74-83-6
53%
81-71-10
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