CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
5-17 | Road
2
MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
7-15 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Davis Martin
#65 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Bailey Ober
#17 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis Martin | None-None | 3.95 | -- | 5.0 | 3 |
| Bailey Ober | None-None | 5.04 | -- | 6.0 | 6 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.95 Ldr
ERA
5.04
--
WHIP
--
5.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 6.0
3
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 6
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
39%
TWINS
61%
WHITE SOX
--
TWINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
65%
Under 0
35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIN -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
CHW By 1-2 runs
15.6%
CHW By 3-4 runs
9.8%
MIN By 1-2 runs
19.7%
MIN By 3-4 runs
17.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
2.59
CHICAGO
Minnesota
3.86
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Minnesota
5
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Twins
Win
61% Win Prob
C
Sim
Twins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Twins (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.3
C
Sim
Twins (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.4
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 6, 2026
MIN @ CHW
1 - 10
Sep 5, 2026
MIN @ CHW
6 - 4
Sep 4, 2026
MIN @ CHW
1 - 4
Aug 30, 2026
CHW @ MIN
1 - 5
Aug 29, 2026
CHW @ MIN
3 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
Minnesota
MIN
1
Games Played
▲
162
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.56
.324
▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.415
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.412
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.403
.826
▲
OPS
.720
1
Home Runs
▲
187
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+18600.0% more
Minnesota: 187.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Walks (L5)
+54.3% more
Chicago: 4.5
vs
Minnesota: 2.1
Errors (L5)
+49.0% more
Chicago: 0.9
vs
Minnesota: 0.4
Runs per Game (Season)
+24.0% more
Chicago: 6.0
vs
Minnesota: 4.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
2.6
2
MIN Score
3.9
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.9
0.0 / 2.0
Hits
6.7 / 6.4
5.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 1.1
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
7.5 / 7.1
9.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
11.3 / 10.8
8.0 / 12.0
Walks
2.1 / 4.5
3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
MIN
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
MIN
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
CHW
MIN
CHW
ML
52%
84-78
49%
81-86
50%
80-81
56%
94-73
ATS
59%
95-67
59%
99-68
59%
95-66
56%
93-74
TTL
51%
78-75-9
58%
96-69-2
53%
80-72-9
51%
84-81-2
Contextual Game News
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