CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
5-18 | Road
3
MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
8-15 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Miguel Vargas
#20 | Third Base@
STARTING PITCHER
Brooks Lee
#22 | Third Base| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Vargas | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Brooks Lee | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
34%
TWINS
66%
WHITE SOX
--
TWINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
70%
Under 0
30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIN -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
CHW By 1-2 runs
16.0%
CHW By 3-4 runs
10.3%
MIN By 1-2 runs
19.6%
MIN By 3-4 runs
16.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
2.72
CHICAGO
Minnesota
3.83
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Minnesota
6
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Twins
Win
66% Win Prob
C
Sim
Twins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Twins (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.1
D
Sim
Twins (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.6
B
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 6, 2026
MIN @ CHW
1 - 10
Sep 5, 2026
MIN @ CHW
6 - 4
Sep 4, 2026
MIN @ CHW
1 - 4
Aug 30, 2026
CHW @ MIN
1 - 5
Aug 29, 2026
CHW @ MIN
3 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
Minnesota
MIN
1
Games Played
▲
162
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.56
.324
▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.415
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.412
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.403
.826
▲
OPS
.720
1
Home Runs
▲
187
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+18600.0% more
Minnesota: 187.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Home Runs (L5)
+17.0% more
Minnesota: 0.9
vs
Chicago: 0.7
Strikeouts (L5)
+13.2% more
Minnesota: 8.0
vs
Chicago: 7.1
Errors (L5)
+80.0% more
Chicago: 1.3
vs
Minnesota: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
2.7
3
MIN Score
3.8
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 1.3
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
6.1 / 7.6
12.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 0.7
2.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.0 / 7.1
11.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
10.2 / 11.2
21.0 / 7.0
Walks
2.4 / 4.7
5.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
MIN
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
MIN
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
CHW
MIN
CHW
ML
52%
84-78
49%
81-86
50%
80-81
56%
94-73
ATS
59%
95-67
59%
99-68
59%
95-66
56%
93-74
TTL
51%
78-75-9
58%
96-69-2
53%
80-72-9
51%
84-81-2
Contextual Game News
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