SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
13-11 | Road
4
BOSTON
RED SOXBOS
14-12 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Andres Munoz
#75 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Greg Weissert
#57 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andres Munoz | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| Greg Weissert | None-None | 4.09 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
0.00 Ldr
ERA
4.09
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
2
K (Strikeouts)
2
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
50%
RED SOX
50%
MARINERS
--
RED SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
68%
Under 0
32%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around BOS -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
SEA By 1-2 runs
17.4%
SEA By 3-4 runs
12.1%
BOS By 1-2 runs
19.2%
BOS By 3-4 runs
15.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
5.03
SEATTLE
Boston
5.54
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Seattle
4
SEATTLE
Boston
6
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Red Sox
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Sox
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Red Sox (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.5
C
Sim
Red Sox (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.6
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 2, 2026
SEA @ BOS
8 - 3
Sep 1, 2026
SEA @ BOS
9 - 6
Aug 31, 2026
SEA @ BOS
8 - 9
Jun 21, 2026
BOS @ SEA
1 - 3
Jun 20, 2026
BOS @ SEA
5 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Boston
BOS
162
▲
Games Played
2
4.10
▲
Runs / Game
1.00
.233
▲
Avg (AVG)
.117
.314
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.159
.379
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.250
.693
▲
OPS
.409
182
▲
Home Runs
2
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+85.0% more
Boston: 1.1
vs
Seattle: 0.3
Home Runs (Season)
+98.9% more
Seattle: 182.0
vs
Boston: 2.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+75.6% more
Seattle: 4.1
vs
Boston: 1.0
OPS (Season)
+28.4%
Seattle: 69.3%
vs
Boston: 40.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
5.0
4
BOS Score
5.5
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.1 / 0.3
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.2 / 10.1
4.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
1.2 / 1.5
2.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
9.6 / 9.3
13.0 / 12.0
Total Bases
14.2 / 15.8
11.0 / 10.0
Walks
4.3 / 4.2
8.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
BOS
Advantage
87-77-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
BOS
Advantage
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
BOS
74-86-4
O: 46.3% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
SEA
BOS
SEA
ML
50%
80-80
50%
81-81
47%
76-87
52%
85-77
ATS
58%
93-67
60%
98-64
48%
79-84
59%
95-67
TTL
46%
72-83-5
56%
85-67-10
47%
74-83-6
53%
81-71-10
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