MIAMI
MARLINSMIA
11-13 | Road
8
SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
14-11 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Calvin Faucher
#53 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Eduard Bazardo
#83 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Faucher | None-None | 3.86 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
| Eduard Bazardo | None-None | 4.91 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.86 Ldr
ERA
4.91
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
MARLINS
40%
MARINERS
60%
MARLINS
--
MARINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
75%
Under 0
25%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.6 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SEA -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
MIA By 1-2 runs
14.6%
MIA By 3-4 runs
8.8%
SEA By 1-2 runs
19.7%
SEA By 3-4 runs
17.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Miami
4.1
MIAMI
Seattle
5.74
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
Miami
3
MIAMI
Seattle
5
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mariners
Loss
60% Win Prob
C
Sim
Mariners
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mariners (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.6
D
Sim
Mariners (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.8
B
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 9, 2026
SEA @ MIA
4 - 8
Jul 8, 2026
SEA @ MIA
0 - 2
Jul 7, 2026
SEA @ MIA
5 - 6
Apr 27, 2025
MIA @ SEA
6 - 7
Apr 26, 2025
MIA @ SEA
0 - 14
Season Statistics Comparison
Miami
MIA
vs
Seattle
SEA
162
Games Played
162
4.41
▲
Runs / Game
4.10
.249
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.326
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.400
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.379
.727
▲
OPS
.693
168
Home Runs
▲
182
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+14.0% more
Seattle: 0.2
vs
Miami: 0.0
Hits (L5)
+9.3% more
Seattle: 9.7
vs
Miami: 8.9
Home Runs (L5)
+9.0% more
Seattle: 1.0
vs
Miami: 0.9
Home Runs (Season)
+8.3% more
Seattle: 182.0
vs
Miami: 168.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIA Score
4.1
8
SEA Score
5.7
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.0
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.7 / 8.9
7.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
1.0 / 0.9
2.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
10.2 / 9.8
8.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
13.9 / 14.1
14.0 / 18.0
Walks
3.5 / 3.7
0.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIA
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIA
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIA
82-75-5
O: 52.2% / U: 47.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
MIA
SEA
MIA
ML
50%
81-81
48%
78-84
52%
85-77
55%
88-72
ATS
60%
98-64
56%
91-71
59%
95-67
54%
86-74
TTL
56%
85-67-10
56%
88-69-5
53%
81-71-10
53%
82-73-5
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