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CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

6-19  |  Road

5
FINAL
Fri, Apr 25 • 10:05 PM ET
Sutter Health Park
View Odds Details →

ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

12-13  |  Home

6
Probable Pitchers
Sean Burke
STARTING PITCHER

Sean Burke

#59 | Starting Pitcher
@
👤
STARTING PITCHER

Nick Kurtz

#16 | First Base
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Sean Burke None-None 6.00 -- 5.1 5
Nick Kurtz None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
6.00 ERA --
-- WHIP --
5.1 IP (Innings Pitched) --
5 K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
25%
📊
ATHLETICS
75%
WHITE SOX --
ATHLETICS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 70%
Under 0 30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Athletics)
White SoxCHW (-3.5) 0 AthleticsATH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

White Sox Cover

30.5%

Athletics Cover

69.5%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around ATH -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)

CHW By 1-2 runs

13.5%

CHW By 3-4 runs

7.7%

ATH By 1-2 runs

19.6%

ATH By 3-4 runs

18.5%

AI Model Projected Score
2.24
CHICAGO
4.28
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
3
CHICAGO
5
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Athletics Win
75% Win Prob
B
Sim Athletics Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Athletics (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
C
Sim Athletics (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 6.5
B
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jul 12, 2026 ATH @ CHW 1 - 9
Jul 11, 2026 ATH @ CHW 0 - 1
Jul 10, 2026 ATH @ CHW 1 - 14
Apr 19, 2026 CHW @ ATH 7 - 4
Apr 18, 2026 CHW @ ATH 6 - 7
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago CHW
vs
Athletics ATH
1
Games Played
▲ 162
6.00 ▲
Runs / Game
4.31
.324 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.415 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.412 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.402
.826 ▲
OPS
.719
1
Home Runs
▲ 194
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +19300.0% more
Athletics: 194.0 vs Chicago: 1.0
Total Bases (L5) +39.1% more
Athletics: 15.6 vs Chicago: 11.2
Errors (L5) +36.0% more
Athletics: 1.1 vs Chicago: 0.8
Hits (L5) +28.1% more
Athletics: 9.4 vs Chicago: 7.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHW Score 2.2 5
ATH Score 4.3 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 1.1 / 0.8 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 9.4 / 7.4 11.0 / 9.0
Home Runs 1.2 / 1.0 1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 6.9 / 8.0 10.0 / 9.0
Total Bases 15.6 / 11.2 15.0 / 16.0
Walks 3.3 / 4.1 3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW Advantage
88-80-0 (52.4%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-:
ATH
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW Advantage
(57.7%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-:
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
97-69-2
O: 58.4% / U: 41.6% Total +/-: +1.0
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
CHW
ATH
CHW
ML
59% 95-67
48% 81-87
54% 87-74
56% 94-74
ATS
52% 84-78
59% 99-69
50% 81-80
55% 93-75
TTL
54% 84-73-5
58% 97-69-2
42% 66-90-5
51% 85-81-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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