TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
14-11 | Road
2
SAN FRANCISCO
GIANTSSF
17-9 | Home
0
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Nathan Eovaldi
#17 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jung Hoo Lee
#51 | Right Field| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Eovaldi | None-None | 2.21 | -- | 6.0 | 7 |
| Jung Hoo Lee | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.21
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
6.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
7
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
40%
GIANTS
60%
RANGERS
--
GIANTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
40%
Under 0
60%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (San Francisco)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SF -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)
TEX By 1-2 runs
15.3%
TEX By 3-4 runs
9.5%
SF By 1-2 runs
19.7%
SF By 3-4 runs
17.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas
3.13
TEXAS
San Francisco
4.51
SAN FRANCISCO
Simulated Score
Texas
4
TEXAS
San Francisco
6
SAN FRANCISCO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Giants
Loss
60% Win Prob
D
Sim
Giants
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Giants (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.4
C
Sim
Giants (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 5, 2026
SF @ TEX
0 - 6
Aug 4, 2026
SF @ TEX
4 - 5
Aug 3, 2026
SF @ TEX
5 - 1
Apr 27, 2025
TEX @ SF
2 - 3
Apr 26, 2025
TEX @ SF
2 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas
TEX
vs
San Francisco
SF
162
Games Played
162
4.15
▲
Runs / Game
4.13
.242
Avg (AVG)
▲
.245
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.306
.396
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.400
.713
▲
OPS
.706
183
▲
Home Runs
178
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+53.5% more
San Francisco: 4.4
vs
Texas: 2.8
Slugging Pct (Season)
+0.4%
San Francisco: 40.0%
vs
Texas: 39.6%
Batting Avg (Season)
+0.3%
San Francisco: 24.5%
vs
Texas: 24.2%
Home Runs (L5)
+53.2% more
Texas: 2.0
vs
San Francisco: 1.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEX Score
3.1
2
SF Score
4.5
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.7 / 0.7
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.9 / 7.3
4.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
1.0 / 2.0
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
7.8 / 8.1
10.0 / 13.0
Total Bases
11.8 / 14.6
4.0 / 9.0
Walks
4.4 / 2.8
1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
SF
65-97-0
(40.1%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
SF
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SF
TEX
SF
TEX
ML
49%
79-81
53%
86-76
53%
85-75
57%
91-70
ATS
62%
100-60
57%
92-70
52%
83-77
61%
98-63
TTL
55%
82-68-10
53%
78-70-14
46%
68-81-11
55%
81-66-14
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