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LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

12-13  |  Road

1
FINAL
Sat, Apr 26 • 2:10 PM ET
Target Field
View Odds Details →

MINNESOTA

TWINSMIN

10-16  |  Home

5
Probable Pitchers
Jose Fermin
STARTING PITCHER

Jose Fermin

#65 | Relief Pitcher
@
Brooks Lee
STARTING PITCHER

Brooks Lee

#22 | Third Base
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jose Fermin None-None 0.00 -- 1.0 2
Brooks Lee None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
0.00 ERA --
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) --
2 K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
60%
📊
TWINS
40%
ANGELS --
TWINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 61%
Under 0 39%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Minnesota)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 TwinsMIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

30.5%

Twins Cover

69.5%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIN -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

LAA By 1-2 runs

13.5%

LAA By 3-4 runs

7.7%

MIN By 1-2 runs

19.6%

MIN By 3-4 runs

18.5%

AI Model Projected Score
2.94
LOS ANGELES
4.98
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
4
LOS ANGELES
5
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Twins Win
40% Win Prob
D
Sim Twins Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Twins (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim Twins (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.9
C
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 20, 2026 MIN @ LAA 8 - 0
Sep 19, 2026 MIN @ LAA 5 - 6
Sep 18, 2026 MIN @ LAA 3 - 0
Sep 17, 2026 MIN @ LAA 4 - 5
Jul 12, 2026 LAA @ MIN 2 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
Minnesota MIN
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲ 4.56
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲ .245
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .317
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .403
.679
OPS
▲ .720
154
Home Runs
▲ 187
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5) +47.4% more
Minnesota: 9.1 vs Los Angeles: 6.2
Errors (L5) +34.0% more
Minnesota: 0.6 vs Los Angeles: 0.2
Home Runs (Season) +21.4% more
Minnesota: 187.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
Hits (L5) +14.5% more
Minnesota: 7.6 vs Los Angeles: 6.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 2.9 1
MIN Score 5.0 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.6 / 0.2 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 7.6 / 6.6 13.0 / 5.0
Home Runs 1.2 / 1.4 0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 9.1 / 6.2 13.0 / 8.0
Total Bases 13.9 / 12.6 15.0 / 8.0
Walks 3.2 / 4.8 0.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
MIN Advantage
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
MIN Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
LAA
MIN
LAA
ML
52% 84-78
59% 96-66
50% 80-81
55% 89-73
ATS
59% 95-67
60% 97-65
59% 95-66
51% 82-80
TTL
51% 78-75-9
53% 83-74-5
53% 80-72-9
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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