HOUSTON
ASTROSHOU
13-13 | Road
7
KANSAS CITY
ROYALSKC
14-14 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Steven Okert
#48 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Michael Massey
#19 | Second Base| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Okert | None-None | 0.69 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
| Michael Massey | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
0.69
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
ASTROS
50%
ROYALS
50%
ASTROS
--
ROYALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
85%
Under 0
15%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
KANSAS CITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Kansas City)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around KC -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KC)
HOU By 1-2 runs
18.2%
HOU By 3-4 runs
13.2%
KC By 1-2 runs
18.6%
KC By 3-4 runs
13.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Houston
3.16
HOUSTON
Kansas City
3.29
KANSAS CITY
Simulated Score
Houston
4
HOUSTON
Kansas City
6
KANSAS CITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Royals
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
Royals
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Royals (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.1
D
Sim
Royals (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.5
A
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 17, 2026
KC @ HOU
2 - 6
Sep 16, 2026
KC @ HOU
5 - 2
Sep 15, 2026
KC @ HOU
2 - 4
Jun 14, 2026
HOU @ KC
0 - 4
Jun 13, 2026
HOU @ KC
8 - 7
Season Statistics Comparison
Houston
HOU
vs
Kansas City
KC
2
Games Played
▲
162
3.00
Runs / Game
▲
4.26
.169
Avg (AVG)
▲
.247
.229
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.316
.354
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.402
.582
OPS
▲
.718
4
Home Runs
▲
170
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+4150.0% more
Kansas City: 170.0
vs
Houston: 4.0
Walks (L5)
+59.5% more
Kansas City: 2.5
vs
Houston: 1.6
Runs per Game (Season)
+42.0% more
Kansas City: 4.3
vs
Houston: 3.0
Strikeouts (L5)
+35.8% more
Kansas City: 7.9
vs
Houston: 5.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HOU Score
3.2
7
KC Score
3.3
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.1
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.3 / 7.2
11.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
0.5 / 0.3
0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
7.9 / 5.8
7.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
10.8 / 10.1
16.0 / 18.0
Walks
2.5 / 1.6
3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOU
Advantage
81-83-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
KC
69-93-0
(42.6%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOU
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
KC
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
HOU
81-74-9
O: 52.3% / U: 47.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
KC
73-85-4
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KC
HOU
KC
HOU
ML
55%
89-72
50%
81-82
56%
90-70
47%
77-87
ATS
57%
91-70
56%
91-72
58%
93-67
55%
90-74
TTL
58%
90-64-7
45%
70-84-9
54%
83-70-7
45%
69-86-9
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