CINCINNATI
REDSCIN
14-13 | Road
8
COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
4-22 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Nick Lodolo
#40 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Zach Agnos
#36 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Lodolo | None-None | 2.25 | -- | 7.0 | 9 |
| Zach Agnos | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 2.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.25
ERA
Ldr 0.00
--
WHIP
--
7.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
2.0
9 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
REDS
86%
ROCKIES
14%
REDS
--
ROCKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
65%
Under 0
35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.1
CINCINNATI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.1 points (Cincinnati)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CIN -2.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CIN)
CIN By 1-2 runs
19.5%
CIN By 3-4 runs
18.6%
COL By 1-2 runs
13.3%
COL By 3-4 runs
7.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Cincinnati
5.95
CINCINNATI
Colorado
3.85
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Cincinnati
3
CINCINNATI
Colorado
6
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Reds
Win
86% Win Prob
A
Sim
Rockies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Reds (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.1
D
Sim
Rockies (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.8
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 19, 2026
CIN @ COL
9 - 6
Jul 18, 2026
CIN @ COL
3 - 10
Jul 17, 2026
CIN @ COL
7 - 2
Apr 30, 2026
COL @ CIN
4 - 6
Apr 29, 2026
COL @ CIN
13 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Cincinnati
CIN
vs
Colorado
COL
162
Games Played
162
4.11
Runs / Game
▲
4.64
.229
Avg (AVG)
▲
.254
.305
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.322
.394
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.417
.699
OPS
▲
.739
213
▲
Home Runs
180
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+37.9% more
Cincinnati: 11.7
vs
Colorado: 7.2
Total Bases (L5)
+26.0% more
Cincinnati: 18.9
vs
Colorado: 14.0
Strikeouts (L5)
+19.0% more
Cincinnati: 9.3
vs
Colorado: 7.5
Home Runs (Season)
+15.5% more
Cincinnati: 213.0
vs
Colorado: 180.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CIN Score
6.0
8
COL Score
3.9
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.7 / 0.5
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
7.2 / 11.7
3.0 / 14.0
Home Runs
1.7 / 1.8
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
7.5 / 9.3
6.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
14.0 / 18.9
3.0 / 17.0
Walks
3.7 / 3.1
4.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CIN
Advantage
75-87-0
(46.3%)
Margin: -1.0
ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CIN
(50.6%)
Margin: -1.0
ATS +/-:
COL
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CIN
84-74-4
O: 53.2% / U: 46.8%
Total +/-: +0.5
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
CIN
COL
CIN
ML
60%
97-64
55%
88-71
55%
88-73
49%
79-81
ATS
60%
97-64
54%
86-73
52%
83-78
50%
80-80
TTL
60%
93-62-6
53%
81-73-5
50%
77-78-6
54%
83-72-5
Contextual Game News
Guardians Storm Back in Game 4, Force Game 5 Against White Sox
Guardians Outslug White Sox in Game 4 to Force Decisive ALDS Gam…
White Sox Collapse in Game 4 Sets Up Winner-Take-All Game 5
Brewers vs. Dodgers NLCS Tickets: Prices, Schedule, and How to A…
Dodgers Outlast Braves in NLDS Game 4, Inch Closer to Three-Peat