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TEXAS

RANGERSTEX

15-12  |  Road

2
FINAL
Sun, Apr 27 • 4:05 PM ET
Oracle Park
View Odds Details →

SAN FRANCISCO

GIANTSSF

18-10  |  Home

3
Probable Pitchers
Jacob Latz
STARTING PITCHER

Jacob Latz

#67 | Relief Pitcher
@
Camilo Doval
STARTING PITCHER

Camilo Doval

#57 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jacob Latz None-None 0.00 -- 1.1 --
Camilo Doval None-None 2.08 -- 1.0 2
None-None W-L None-None
0.00 Ldr ERA 2.08
-- WHIP --
1.1 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
41%
📊
GIANTS
59%
RANGERS --
GIANTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 70%
Under 0 30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (San Francisco)
RangersTEX (-3.5) 0 GiantsSF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rangers Cover

49.1%

Giants Cover

50.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SF -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)

TEX By 1-2 runs

18.3%

TEX By 3-4 runs

13.3%

SF By 1-2 runs

18.6%

SF By 3-4 runs

13.8%

AI Model Projected Score
3.44
TEXAS
3.53
SAN FRANCISCO
Simulated Score
4
TEXAS
6
SAN FRANCISCO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Giants Win
59% Win Prob
D
Sim Giants Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Giants (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -0.1
A
Sim Giants (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 5, 2026 SF @ TEX 0 - 6
Aug 4, 2026 SF @ TEX 4 - 5
Aug 3, 2026 SF @ TEX 5 - 1
Apr 27, 2025 TEX @ SF 2 - 3
Apr 26, 2025 TEX @ SF 2 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas TEX
vs
San Francisco SF
162
Games Played
162
4.15 ▲
Runs / Game
4.13
.242
Avg (AVG)
▲ .245
.317 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.306
.396
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .400
.713 ▲
OPS
.706
183 ▲
Home Runs
178
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5) +23.0% more
San Francisco: 0.5 vs Texas: 0.3
Strikeouts (L5) +15.2% more
San Francisco: 9.0 vs Texas: 7.8
Hits (L5) +11.2% more
San Francisco: 8.1 vs Texas: 7.3
Slugging Pct (Season) +0.4%
San Francisco: 40.0% vs Texas: 39.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TEX Score 3.4 2
SF Score 3.5 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.5 / 0.3 0.0 / 3.0
Hits 8.1 / 7.3 5.0 / 10.0
Home Runs 0.4 / 0.9 0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 9.0 / 7.8 10.0 / 4.0
Total Bases 10.1 / 11.5 5.0 / 16.0
Walks 2.5 / 2.5 0.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX Advantage
80-82-0 (49.4%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
SF
65-97-0 (40.1%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
SF Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1% Total +/-: +0.6
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SF
TEX
SF
TEX
ML
49% 79-81
53% 86-76
53% 85-75
57% 91-70
ATS
62% 100-60
57% 92-70
52% 83-77
61% 98-63
TTL
55% 82-68-10
53% 78-70-14
46% 68-81-11
55% 81-66-14
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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