MIAMI
MARLINSMIA
12-14 | Road
6
SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
15-12 | Home
7
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Tyler Phillips
#30 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Andres Munoz
#75 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Phillips | None-None | 5.54 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
| Andres Munoz | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
5.54
ERA
Ldr 0.00
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
MARLINS
41%
MARINERS
59%
MARLINS
--
MARINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
80%
Under 0
20%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.7
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.7 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SEA -2.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
MIA By 1-2 runs
11.6%
MIA By 3-4 runs
6.2%
SEA By 1-2 runs
18.9%
SEA By 3-4 runs
19.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Miami
3.96
MIAMI
Seattle
6.63
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
Miami
6
MIAMI
Seattle
4
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mariners
Win
59% Win Prob
D
Sim
Marlins
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Mariners (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.7
D
Sim
Marlins (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.6
A
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 9, 2026
SEA @ MIA
4 - 8
Jul 8, 2026
SEA @ MIA
0 - 2
Jul 7, 2026
SEA @ MIA
5 - 6
Apr 27, 2025
MIA @ SEA
6 - 7
Apr 26, 2025
MIA @ SEA
0 - 14
Season Statistics Comparison
Miami
MIA
vs
Seattle
SEA
162
Games Played
162
4.41
▲
Runs / Game
4.10
.249
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.326
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.400
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.379
.727
▲
OPS
.693
168
Home Runs
▲
182
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+137.0% more
Seattle: 2.2
vs
Miami: 0.9
Total Bases (L5)
+66.3% more
Seattle: 19.3
vs
Miami: 11.6
Hits (L5)
+44.9% more
Seattle: 10.9
vs
Miami: 7.5
Errors (L5)
+29.0% more
Seattle: 0.6
vs
Miami: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIA Score
4.0
6
SEA Score
6.6
7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.3
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
10.9 / 7.5
9.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
2.2 / 0.9
2.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
8.6 / 7.7
7.0 / 11.0
Total Bases
19.3 / 11.6
18.0 / 19.0
Walks
2.2 / 4.4
3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIA
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIA
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIA
82-75-5
O: 52.2% / U: 47.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
MIA
SEA
MIA
ML
50%
81-81
48%
78-84
52%
85-77
55%
88-72
ATS
60%
98-64
56%
91-71
59%
95-67
54%
86-74
TTL
56%
85-67-10
56%
88-69-5
53%
81-71-10
53%
82-73-5
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