MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
12-16 | Road
11
CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
15-12 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Bailey Ober
#17 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Tim Herrin
#29 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Ober | None-None | 4.13 | -- | 7.2 | 2 |
| Tim Herrin | None-None | 3.48 | -- | 0.1 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.13
ERA
Ldr 3.48
--
WHIP
--
7.2 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.1
2 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
TWINS
38%
GUARDIANS
63%
TWINS
--
GUARDIANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
44%
Under 0
56%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CLE -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
MIN By 1-2 runs
18.1%
MIN By 3-4 runs
13.1%
CLE By 1-2 runs
18.7%
CLE By 3-4 runs
14.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
3.74
MINNESOTA
Cleveland
3.9
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Minnesota
4
MINNESOTA
Cleveland
5
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Guardians
Loss
63% Win Prob
C
Sim
Guardians
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Guardians (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.2
B
Sim
Guardians (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 13, 2026
CLE @ MIN
9 - 2
Sep 12, 2026
CLE @ MIN
3 - 4
Sep 11, 2026
CLE @ MIN
5 - 2
Jul 23, 2026
MIN @ CLE
3 - 1
Jul 22, 2026
MIN @ CLE
10 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Minnesota
MIN
vs
Cleveland
CLE
162
Games Played
162
4.56
▲
Runs / Game
4.19
.245
▲
Avg (AVG)
.239
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.316
.403
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.380
.720
▲
OPS
.696
187
▲
Home Runs
162
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+137.6% more
Cleveland: 5.0
vs
Minnesota: 2.1
Errors (L5)
+130.0% more
Cleveland: 1.6
vs
Minnesota: 0.3
Home Runs (L5)
+10.0% more
Cleveland: 0.7
vs
Minnesota: 0.6
Strikeouts (L5)
+15.8% more
Minnesota: 11.3
vs
Cleveland: 9.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
3.7
11
CLE Score
3.9
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.6 / 0.3
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.1 / 9.3
8.0 / 17.0
Home Runs
0.7 / 0.6
0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
9.5 / 11.3
5.0 / 3.0
Total Bases
11.8 / 13.9
9.0 / 26.0
Walks
5.0 / 2.1
3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
CLE
Advantage
86-79-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
CLE
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
MIN
CLE
MIN
ML
54%
87-74
52%
84-78
49%
80-82
50%
80-81
ATS
58%
93-68
59%
95-67
59%
95-67
59%
95-66
TTL
55%
88-71-2
51%
78-75-9
43%
69-90-2
53%
80-72-9
Contextual Game News
CC Sabathia's Divided Playoff Heart: Brewers Advance, Yankees Ex…
Yankees and Braves Urged to Cut Ties with Underperforming Stars …
Guardians' Game 4 Pitching Edge Could Spell Trouble for White Sox
Guardians' Parker Messick Aims to Force Game 5 as Rookie Strikeo…
Trump to Honor Roger Clemens with Presidential Medal of Freedom