ATLANTA
BRAVESATL
12-15 | Road
6
COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
4-23 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Raisel Iglesias
#26 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Ryan Feltner
#18 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raisel Iglesias | None-None | 5.73 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Ryan Feltner | None-None | 4.75 | -- | 4.2 | 4 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
5.73
ERA
Ldr 4.75
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 4.2
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 4
AI Model Win Probability
BRAVES
82%
ROCKIES
18%
BRAVES
--
ROCKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
63%
Under 0
38%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (Atlanta)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ATL -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
ATL By 1-2 runs
19.4%
ATL By 3-4 runs
15.8%
COL By 1-2 runs
16.8%
COL By 3-4 runs
11.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Atlanta
4.58
ATLANTA
Colorado
3.78
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Atlanta
3
ATLANTA
Colorado
7
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Braves
Win
82% Win Prob
A
Sim
Rockies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Braves (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.8
D
Sim
Rockies (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.4
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 30, 2026
COL @ ATL
2 - 3
Aug 29, 2026
COL @ ATL
1 - 2
Aug 28, 2026
COL @ ATL
4 - 6
May 3, 2026
ATL @ COL
11 - 6
May 2, 2026
ATL @ COL
9 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Atlanta
ATL
vs
Colorado
COL
1
Games Played
▲
162
5.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.64
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.254
.324
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.322
.433
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.417
.757
▲
OPS
.739
1
Home Runs
▲
180
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+41.8% more
Atlanta: 10.0
vs
Colorado: 5.8
Total Bases (L5)
+35.3% more
Atlanta: 16.0
vs
Colorado: 10.3
Runs per Game (Season)
+7.2% more
Atlanta: 5.0
vs
Colorado: 4.6
OPS (Season)
+1.8%
Atlanta: 75.7%
vs
Colorado: 73.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATL Score
4.6
6
COL Score
3.8
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.5
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
5.8 / 10.0
7.0 / 14.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 1.2
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
7.0 / 7.4
7.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
10.3 / 16.0
14.0 / 16.0
Walks
3.8 / 3.8
2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATL
Advantage
97-72-0
(57.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATL
Advantage
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2%
Total +/-: 0.0
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
ATL
COL
ATL
ML
60%
97-64
46%
77-90
55%
88-73
54%
90-78
ATS
60%
97-64
57%
96-71
52%
83-78
52%
87-81
TTL
60%
93-62-6
53%
83-73-11
50%
77-78-6
49%
76-80-11
Contextual Game News
Yankees and Braves Urged to Cut Ties with Underperforming Stars …
Dodgers Outlast Braves in NLDS Game 4, Inch Closer to Three-Peat
Dodgers Embrace 'Dinosaur' Label While Trolling Padres After NLD…
!role~Preview!mt~photo!fmt~JPEG%20Baseline)
Nick Martinez's Journey from Ejection at Yankee Stadium to ALCS …
Walt Weiss Reveals Why Ronald Acuña Jr. Was DH in Game 3