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MILWAUKEE

BREWERSMIL

14-15  |  Road

7
FINAL
Tue, Apr 29 • 7:40 PM ET
Rate Field
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

7-21  |  Home

2
Probable Pitchers
Bryse Wilson
STARTING PITCHER

Bryse Wilson

#41 | Relief Pitcher
@
Miguel Vargas
STARTING PITCHER

Miguel Vargas

#20 | Third Base
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Bryse Wilson None-None 5.00 -- 3.1 1
Miguel Vargas None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
5.00 ERA --
-- WHIP --
3.1 IP (Innings Pitched) --
1 K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
74%
📊
WHITE SOX
26%
BREWERS --
WHITE SOX --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 53%
Under 0 47%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Milwaukee)
BrewersMIL (-3.5) 0 White SoxCHW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Brewers Cover

69.1%

White Sox Cover

30.9%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIL -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)

MIL By 1-2 runs

19.6%

MIL By 3-4 runs

18.4%

CHW By 1-2 runs

13.6%

CHW By 3-4 runs

7.8%

AI Model Projected Score
5.01
MILWAUKEE
3.01
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
3
MILWAUKEE
6
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Brewers Win
74% Win Prob
B
Sim White Sox Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Brewers (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim White Sox (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 29, 2026 CHW @ MIL 7 - 9
Mar 28, 2026 CHW @ MIL 1 - 6
Mar 26, 2026 CHW @ MIL 2 - 14
May 1, 2025 MIL @ CHW 0 - 8
Apr 30, 2025 MIL @ CHW 6 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee MIL
vs
Chicago CHW
162 ▲
Games Played
1
5.14
Runs / Game
▲ 6.00
.258
Avg (AVG)
▲ .324
.341
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .415
.403
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .412
.743
OPS
▲ .826
154 ▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +99.4% more
Milwaukee: 154.0 vs Chicago: 1.0
Walks (L5) +30.0% more
Milwaukee: 4.5 vs Chicago: 3.2
Errors (L5) +26.0% more
Milwaukee: 0.6 vs Chicago: 0.4
Hits (L5) +10.6% more
Milwaukee: 10.0 vs Chicago: 9.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIL Score 5.0 7
CHW Score 3.0 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 0.6 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 9.0 / 10.0 4.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 1.0 / 0.4 2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 7.7 / 6.7 9.0 / 9.0
Total Bases 14.3 / 13.2 10.0 / 11.0
Walks 3.2 / 4.5 10.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL Advantage
106-60-0 (63.9%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
CHW
88-79-0 (52.7%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7% Total +/-: +0.8
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
MIL
CHW
MIL
ML
49% 81-86
62% 101-61
56% 94-73
52% 84-78
ATS
59% 99-68
58% 94-68
56% 93-74
48% 78-84
TTL
58% 96-69-2
40% 62-92-8
51% 84-81-2
50% 77-77-8
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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