MIAMI
MARLINSMIA
12-17 | Road
7
LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
20-10 | Home
12
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Otto Lopez
#6 | Shortstop@
STARTING PITCHER
Alex Vesia
#51 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otto Lopez | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Alex Vesia | None-None | 3.07 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
3.07
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
2
AI Model Win Probability
MARLINS
26%
DODGERS
74%
MARLINS
--
DODGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
65%
Under 0
35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.3
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.3 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -3.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)
MIA By 1-2 runs
9.8%
MIA By 3-4 runs
4.8%
LAD By 1-2 runs
17.9%
LAD By 3-4 runs
19.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Miami
3.41
MIAMI
Los Angeles
6.7
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
Miami
3
MIAMI
Los Angeles
6
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers
Win
74% Win Prob
B
Sim
Dodgers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.3
D
Sim
Dodgers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.1
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 13, 2026
LAD @ MIA
4 - 6
Sep 12, 2026
LAD @ MIA
3 - 4
Sep 11, 2026
LAD @ MIA
6 - 2
Apr 29, 2026
MIA @ LAD
3 - 2
Apr 28, 2026
MIA @ LAD
2 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Miami
MIA
vs
Los Angeles
LAD
162
Games Played
162
4.41
Runs / Game
▲
4.94
.249
Avg (AVG)
▲
.257
.326
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.338
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.424
.727
OPS
▲
.762
168
Home Runs
▲
204
Key Model Drivers
Total Bases (L5)
+72.0% more
Los Angeles: 21.7
vs
Miami: 12.6
Home Runs (L5)
+68.0% more
Los Angeles: 1.6
vs
Miami: 0.9
Hits (L5)
+60.1% more
Los Angeles: 13.3
vs
Miami: 8.3
Home Runs (Season)
+21.4% more
Los Angeles: 204.0
vs
Miami: 168.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIA Score
3.4
7
LAD Score
6.7
12
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.8
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
13.3 / 8.3
17.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
1.6 / 0.9
2.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
7.7 / 7.4
12.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
21.7 / 12.6
31.0 / 17.0
Walks
2.7 / 6.3
2.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIA
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIA
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIA
82-75-5
O: 52.2% / U: 47.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
MIA
LAD
MIA
ML
56%
92-73
48%
78-84
48%
79-87
55%
88-72
ATS
59%
98-67
56%
91-71
43%
72-94
54%
86-74
TTL
48%
77-82-6
56%
88-69-5
44%
70-90-6
53%
82-73-5
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