ATLANTA
BRAVESATL
14-15 | Road
1
COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
4-25 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Chris Sale
#51 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Zach Agnos
#36 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale | None-None | 4.84 | -- | 7.0 | 10 |
| Zach Agnos | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.84
ERA
Ldr 0.00
--
WHIP
--
7.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
10 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
BRAVES
85%
ROCKIES
15%
BRAVES
--
ROCKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
60%
Under 0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.5
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.5 points (Atlanta)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ATL -2.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
ATL By 1-2 runs
19.2%
ATL By 3-4 runs
19.1%
COL By 1-2 runs
12.2%
COL By 3-4 runs
6.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Atlanta
5.52
ATLANTA
Colorado
3.06
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Atlanta
3
ATLANTA
Colorado
6
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Braves
Loss
85% Win Prob
A
Sim
Rockies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Braves (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.5
D
Sim
Rockies (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.6
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 30, 2026
COL @ ATL
2 - 3
Aug 29, 2026
COL @ ATL
1 - 2
Aug 28, 2026
COL @ ATL
4 - 6
May 3, 2026
ATL @ COL
11 - 6
May 2, 2026
ATL @ COL
9 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Atlanta
ATL
vs
Colorado
COL
1
Games Played
▲
162
5.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.64
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.254
.324
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.322
.433
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.417
.757
▲
OPS
.739
1
Home Runs
▲
180
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+49.8% more
Atlanta: 12.2
vs
Colorado: 6.1
Total Bases (L5)
+38.2% more
Atlanta: 17.3
vs
Colorado: 10.7
Strikeouts (L5)
+25.4% more
Atlanta: 7.2
vs
Colorado: 5.3
Runs per Game (Season)
+7.2% more
Atlanta: 5.0
vs
Colorado: 4.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATL Score
5.5
1
COL Score
3.1
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.9 / 0.5
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.1 / 12.2
5.0 / 3.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 0.5
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
5.3 / 7.2
8.0 / 12.0
Total Bases
10.7 / 17.3
10.0 / 3.0
Walks
2.8 / 3.0
3.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATL
Advantage
97-72-0
(57.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATL
Advantage
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2%
Total +/-: 0.0
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
ATL
COL
ATL
ML
60%
97-64
46%
77-90
55%
88-73
54%
90-78
ATS
60%
97-64
57%
96-71
52%
83-78
52%
87-81
TTL
60%
93-62-6
53%
83-73-11
50%
77-78-6
49%
76-80-11
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