LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
12-16 | Road
3
SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
17-12 | Home
9
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Ryan Johnson
#32 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Eduard Bazardo
#83 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Johnson | None-None | 4.85 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Eduard Bazardo | None-None | 4.60 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.85
ERA
Ldr 4.60
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
35%
MARINERS
65%
ANGELS
--
MARINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
56%
Under 0
44%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.8
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.8 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SEA -1.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
LAA By 1-2 runs
14.0%
LAA By 3-4 runs
8.2%
SEA By 1-2 runs
19.7%
SEA By 3-4 runs
18.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
3.33
LOS ANGELES
Seattle
5.18
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Seattle
5
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mariners
Win
65% Win Prob
C
Sim
Mariners
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mariners (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.8
D
Sim
Mariners (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 27, 2026
LAA @ SEA
3 - 7
Sep 26, 2026
LAA @ SEA
4 - 8
Sep 25, 2026
LAA @ SEA
7 - 5
Sep 24, 2026
LAA @ SEA
6 - 4
Sep 16, 2026
SEA @ LAA
7 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAA
vs
Seattle
SEA
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲
4.10
.234
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.314
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.379
.679
OPS
▲
.693
154
Home Runs
▲
182
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+120.0% more
Seattle: 2.1
vs
Los Angeles: 0.9
Hits (L5)
+63.8% more
Seattle: 9.2
vs
Los Angeles: 5.6
Total Bases (L5)
+59.4% more
Seattle: 16.9
vs
Los Angeles: 10.6
Strikeouts (L5)
+37.9% more
Seattle: 9.1
vs
Los Angeles: 6.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAA Score
3.3
3
SEA Score
5.2
9
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.4
1.0 / 2.0
Hits
9.2 / 5.6
12.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
2.1 / 0.9
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
9.1 / 6.6
4.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
16.9 / 10.6
16.0 / 13.0
Walks
3.3 / 4.4
3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
SEA
Advantage
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
LAA
SEA
LAA
ML
50%
81-81
59%
96-66
52%
85-77
55%
89-73
ATS
60%
98-64
60%
97-65
59%
95-67
51%
82-80
TTL
56%
85-67-10
53%
83-74-5
53%
81-71-10
52%
82-75-5
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