MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
15-15 | Road
6
CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
7-22 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Trevor Megill
#29 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Edgar Quero
#26 | Catcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Megill | None-None | 4.32 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| Edgar Quero | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.32
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
2
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
76%
WHITE SOX
24%
BREWERS
--
WHITE SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
60%
Under 0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.9
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.9 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIL -1.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
MIL By 1-2 runs
19.7%
MIL By 3-4 runs
18.2%
CHW By 1-2 runs
13.9%
CHW By 3-4 runs
8.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
4.92
MILWAUKEE
Chicago
3.04
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
4
MILWAUKEE
Chicago
6
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Brewers
Win
76% Win Prob
B
Sim
White Sox
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Brewers (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.9
D
Sim
White Sox (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 29, 2026
CHW @ MIL
7 - 9
Mar 28, 2026
CHW @ MIL
1 - 6
Mar 26, 2026
CHW @ MIL
2 - 14
May 1, 2025
MIL @ CHW
0 - 8
Apr 30, 2025
MIL @ CHW
6 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee
MIL
vs
Chicago
CHW
162
▲
Games Played
1
5.14
Runs / Game
▲
6.00
.258
Avg (AVG)
▲
.324
.341
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.415
.403
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.412
.743
OPS
▲
.826
154
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+99.4% more
Milwaukee: 154.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Hits (L5)
+21.8% more
Milwaukee: 9.4
vs
Chicago: 7.3
Home Runs (L5)
+74.0% more
Chicago: 1.3
vs
Milwaukee: 0.6
Walks (L5)
+35.6% more
Chicago: 5.5
vs
Milwaukee: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
4.9
6
CHW Score
3.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.4
3.0 / 1.0
Hits
7.3 / 9.4
10.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
1.3 / 0.6
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.1 / 7.5
9.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
12.8 / 12.4
10.0 / 11.0
Walks
5.5 / 4.0
5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
CHW
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
MIL
CHW
MIL
ML
49%
81-86
62%
101-61
56%
94-73
52%
84-78
ATS
59%
99-68
58%
94-68
56%
93-74
48%
78-84
TTL
58%
96-69-2
40%
62-92-8
51%
84-81-2
50%
77-77-8
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