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MILWAUKEE

BREWERSMIL

16-15  |  Road

0
FINAL
Thu, May 1 • 2:10 PM ET
Rate Field
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

7-23  |  Home

8
Probable Pitchers
Chad Patrick
STARTING PITCHER

Chad Patrick

#39 | Relief Pitcher
@
Sean Burke
STARTING PITCHER

Sean Burke

#59 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Chad Patrick None-None 2.87 -- 5.2 4
Sean Burke None-None 4.91 -- 6.0 5
None-None W-L None-None
2.87 Ldr ERA 4.91
-- WHIP --
5.2 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 6.0
4 K (Strikeouts) Ldr 5
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
78%
📊
WHITE SOX
22%
BREWERS --
WHITE SOX --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 47%
Under 0 53%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Milwaukee)
BrewersMIL (-3.5) 0 White SoxCHW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Brewers Cover

77.6%

White Sox Cover

22.4%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIL -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)

MIL By 1-2 runs

18.4%

MIL By 3-4 runs

19.6%

CHW By 1-2 runs

10.5%

CHW By 3-4 runs

5.3%

AI Model Projected Score
5.49
MILWAUKEE
2.45
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
3
MILWAUKEE
6
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Brewers Loss
78% Win Prob
B
Sim White Sox Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Brewers (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Sim White Sox (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.9
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 29, 2026 CHW @ MIL 7 - 9
Mar 28, 2026 CHW @ MIL 1 - 6
Mar 26, 2026 CHW @ MIL 2 - 14
May 1, 2025 MIL @ CHW 0 - 8
Apr 30, 2025 MIL @ CHW 6 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee MIL
vs
Chicago CHW
162 ▲
Games Played
1
5.14
Runs / Game
▲ 6.00
.258
Avg (AVG)
▲ .324
.341
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .415
.403
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .412
.743
OPS
▲ .826
154 ▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +99.4% more
Milwaukee: 154.0 vs Chicago: 1.0
Errors (L5) +77.0% more
Chicago: 1.4 vs Milwaukee: 0.6
Home Runs (L5) +50.0% more
Chicago: 0.9 vs Milwaukee: 0.4
Walks (L5) +21.8% more
Chicago: 5.3 vs Milwaukee: 4.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIL Score 5.5 0
CHW Score 2.5 8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 1.4 / 0.6 1.0 / 1.0
Hits 8.2 / 8.9 9.0 / 2.0
Home Runs 0.9 / 0.4 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 8.4 / 7.7 9.0 / 4.0
Total Bases 11.9 / 12.0 15.0 / 3.0
Walks 5.3 / 4.4 4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL Advantage
106-60-0 (63.9%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
CHW
88-80-0 (52.4%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
(57.7%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7% Total +/-: +0.8
CHW
97-69-2
O: 58.4% / U: 41.6% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
MIL
CHW
MIL
ML
48% 81-87
62% 101-61
56% 94-74
52% 84-78
ATS
59% 99-69
58% 94-68
55% 93-75
48% 78-84
TTL
58% 97-69-2
40% 62-92-8
51% 85-81-2
50% 77-77-8
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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