SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
18-12 | Road
13
TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
16-16 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Bryan Woo
#22 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jacob Latz
#67 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Woo | None-None | 2.58 | -- | 6.1 | 8 |
| Jacob Latz | None-None | 4.32 | -- | 1.2 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.58 Ldr
ERA
4.32
--
WHIP
--
6.1 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.2
8 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
60%
RANGERS
40%
MARINERS
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.6 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SEA -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
SEA By 1-2 runs
19.7%
SEA By 3-4 runs
17.7%
TEX By 1-2 runs
14.7%
TEX By 3-4 runs
8.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
5.53
SEATTLE
Texas
3.94
TEXAS
Simulated Score
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Texas
5
TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mariners
Win
60% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Mariners (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.6
D
Sim
Rangers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 10, 2026
TEX @ SEA
3 - 4
Sep 9, 2026
TEX @ SEA
2 - 3
Sep 8, 2026
TEX @ SEA
10 - 5
Jul 27, 2026
SEA @ TEX
3 - 7
Jul 26, 2026
SEA @ TEX
6 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Texas
TEX
162
Games Played
162
4.10
Runs / Game
▲
4.15
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.242
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.317
.379
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.396
.693
OPS
▲
.713
182
Home Runs
▲
183
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+93.1% more
Seattle: 1.7
vs
Texas: 0.1
Total Bases (L5)
+42.7% more
Seattle: 16.6
vs
Texas: 9.5
Errors (L5)
+28.0% more
Seattle: 0.5
vs
Texas: 0.2
Hits (L5)
+22.2% more
Seattle: 10.1
vs
Texas: 7.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
5.5
13
TEX Score
3.9
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.5
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.9 / 10.1
3.0 / 17.0
Home Runs
0.1 / 1.7
1.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
8.8 / 7.4
3.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
9.5 / 16.6
6.0 / 30.0
Walks
3.4 / 3.2
3.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
TEX
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
TEX
Advantage
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEX
SEA
TEX
SEA
ML
53%
86-76
50%
81-81
57%
91-70
52%
85-77
ATS
57%
92-70
60%
98-64
61%
98-63
59%
95-67
TTL
53%
78-70-14
56%
85-67-10
55%
81-66-14
53%
81-71-10
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