LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
22-10 | Road
10
ATLANTA
BRAVESATL
14-17 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Alex Vesia
#51 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Raisel Iglesias
#26 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Vesia | None-None | 2.87 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
| Raisel Iglesias | None-None | 5.25 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.87 Ldr
ERA
5.25
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
73%
BRAVES
27%
DODGERS
--
BRAVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
70%
Under 0
30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.2
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.2 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAD -3.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)
LAD By 1-2 runs
18.1%
LAD By 3-4 runs
19.7%
ATL By 1-2 runs
10.1%
ATL By 3-4 runs
5.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
6.76
LOS ANGELES
Atlanta
3.57
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
5
LOS ANGELES
Atlanta
6
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Dodgers
Win
73% Win Prob
B
Sim
Braves
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Dodgers (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.2
B
Sim
Braves (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.3
B
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 7, 2026
LAD @ ATL
4 - 1
Oct 6, 2026
LAD @ ATL
3 - 1
Oct 4, 2026
ATL @ LAD
3 - 2
Oct 3, 2026
ATL @ LAD
3 - 5
Aug 27, 2026
LAD @ ATL
0 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAD
vs
Atlanta
ATL
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.94
Runs / Game
▲
5.00
.257
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.338
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.324
.424
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.433
.762
▲
OPS
.757
204
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+99.5% more
Los Angeles: 204.0
vs
Atlanta: 1.0
Home Runs (L5)
+62.4% more
Los Angeles: 1.5
vs
Atlanta: 0.6
Total Bases (L5)
+45.0% more
Los Angeles: 18.9
vs
Atlanta: 10.4
Hits (L5)
+38.7% more
Los Angeles: 11.0
vs
Atlanta: 6.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAD Score
6.8
10
ATL Score
3.6
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.2
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.8 / 11.0
10.0 / 12.0
Home Runs
0.6 / 1.5
1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
9.5 / 9.4
12.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
10.4 / 18.9
17.0 / 20.0
Walks
2.3 / 2.6
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
ATL
97-72-0
(57.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
ATL
Advantage
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
LAD
ATL
LAD
ML
46%
77-90
56%
92-73
54%
90-78
48%
79-87
ATS
57%
96-71
59%
98-67
52%
87-81
43%
72-94
TTL
53%
83-73-11
48%
77-82-6
49%
76-80-11
44%
70-90-6
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