LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
23-11 | Road
7
MIAMI
MARLINSMIA
13-20 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Tanner Scott
#66 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Tyler Phillips
#30 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | None-None | 2.16 | -- | 0.2 | 1 |
| Tyler Phillips | None-None | 4.43 | -- | 2.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.16 Ldr
ERA
4.43
--
WHIP
--
0.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 2.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
76%
MARLINS
24%
DODGERS
--
MARLINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
70%
Under 0
30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAD -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)
LAD By 1-2 runs
16.4%
LAD By 3-4 runs
19.6%
MIA By 1-2 runs
7.9%
MIA By 3-4 runs
3.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
7.22
LOS ANGELES
Miami
3.26
MIAMI
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Miami
6
MIAMI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Dodgers
Win
76% Win Prob
B
Sim
Marlins
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Dodgers (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -4.0
D
Sim
Marlins (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.5
B
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 13, 2026
LAD @ MIA
4 - 6
Sep 12, 2026
LAD @ MIA
3 - 4
Sep 11, 2026
LAD @ MIA
6 - 2
Apr 29, 2026
MIA @ LAD
3 - 2
Apr 28, 2026
MIA @ LAD
2 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAD
vs
Miami
MIA
162
Games Played
162
4.94
▲
Runs / Game
4.41
.257
▲
Avg (AVG)
.249
.338
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.326
.424
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.762
▲
OPS
.727
204
▲
Home Runs
168
Key Model Drivers
Total Bases (L5)
+36.4% more
Los Angeles: 17.2
vs
Miami: 10.9
Hits (L5)
+35.9% more
Los Angeles: 9.9
vs
Miami: 6.4
Home Runs (L5)
+32.6% more
Los Angeles: 1.4
vs
Miami: 1.0
Home Runs (Season)
+17.6% more
Los Angeles: 204.0
vs
Miami: 168.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAD Score
7.2
7
MIA Score
3.3
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.1
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
6.4 / 9.9
10.0 / 13.0
Home Runs
1.0 / 1.4
1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
7.1 / 8.5
8.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
10.9 / 17.2
14.0 / 23.0
Walks
3.9 / 2.5
1.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
MIA
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
MIA
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
MIA
82-75-5
O: 52.2% / U: 47.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIA
LAD
MIA
LAD
ML
48%
78-84
56%
92-73
55%
88-72
48%
79-87
ATS
56%
91-71
59%
98-67
54%
86-74
43%
72-94
TTL
56%
88-69-5
48%
77-82-6
53%
82-73-5
44%
70-90-6
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