LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
24-11 | Road
4
MIAMI
MARLINSMIA
13-21 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Tanner Scott
#66 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Calvin Faucher
#53 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | None-None | 2.04 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Calvin Faucher | None-None | 3.00 | -- | 0.2 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.04 Ldr
ERA
3.00
--
WHIP
--
1.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.2
1
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
78%
MARLINS
22%
DODGERS
--
MARLINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
75%
Under 0
25%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.9
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.9 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAD -3.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)
LAD By 1-2 runs
16.6%
LAD By 3-4 runs
19.6%
MIA By 1-2 runs
8.1%
MIA By 3-4 runs
3.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
7.22
LOS ANGELES
Miami
3.32
MIAMI
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Miami
6
MIAMI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Dodgers
Loss
78% Win Prob
B
Sim
Marlins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Dodgers (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.9
D
Sim
Marlins (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.5
B
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 13, 2026
LAD @ MIA
4 - 6
Sep 12, 2026
LAD @ MIA
3 - 4
Sep 11, 2026
LAD @ MIA
6 - 2
Apr 29, 2026
MIA @ LAD
3 - 2
Apr 28, 2026
MIA @ LAD
2 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAD
vs
Miami
MIA
162
Games Played
162
4.94
▲
Runs / Game
4.41
.257
▲
Avg (AVG)
.249
.338
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.326
.424
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.762
▲
OPS
.727
204
▲
Home Runs
168
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+39.9% more
Los Angeles: 1.6
vs
Miami: 1.0
Total Bases (L5)
+37.5% more
Los Angeles: 19.1
vs
Miami: 11.9
Hits (L5)
+30.8% more
Los Angeles: 10.9
vs
Miami: 7.6
Strikeouts (L5)
+17.9% more
Los Angeles: 9.0
vs
Miami: 7.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAD Score
7.2
4
MIA Score
3.3
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.7 / 0.4
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.6 / 10.9
11.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
1.0 / 1.6
1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
7.4 / 9.0
11.0 / 14.0
Total Bases
11.9 / 19.1
16.0 / 17.0
Walks
2.9 / 2.7
5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
MIA
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
MIA
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
MIA
82-75-5
O: 52.2% / U: 47.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIA
LAD
MIA
LAD
ML
48%
78-84
56%
92-73
55%
88-72
48%
79-87
ATS
56%
91-71
59%
98-67
54%
86-74
43%
72-94
TTL
56%
88-69-5
48%
77-82-6
53%
82-73-5
44%
70-90-6
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