SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
20-14 | Road
5
ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
20-16 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Gabe Speier
#55 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Hogan Harris
#36 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Speier | None-None | 2.70 | -- | 0.1 | 1 |
| Hogan Harris | None-None | 2.08 | -- | 0.1 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.70
ERA
Ldr 2.08
--
WHIP
--
0.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.1
1
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
53%
ATHLETICS
47%
MARINERS
--
ATHLETICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
0.0
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around ATH 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)
SEA By 1-2 runs
18.4%
SEA By 3-4 runs
13.5%
ATH By 1-2 runs
18.4%
ATH By 3-4 runs
13.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
5.62
SEATTLE
Athletics
5.63
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Athletics
6
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Athletics
Loss
47% Win Prob
D
Sim
Athletics
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Athletics (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: 0.0
B
Sim
Athletics (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 11.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 13, 2026
SEA @ ATH
7 - 8
Sep 12, 2026
SEA @ ATH
19 - 1
Sep 11, 2026
SEA @ ATH
5 - 6
Sep 6, 2026
ATH @ SEA
0 - 2
Sep 5, 2026
ATH @ SEA
6 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Athletics
ATH
162
Games Played
162
4.10
Runs / Game
▲
4.31
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.245
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.317
.379
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.402
.693
OPS
▲
.719
182
Home Runs
▲
194
Key Model Drivers
Total Bases (L5)
+25.4% more
Athletics: 15.7
vs
Seattle: 12.5
Home Runs (L5)
+25.0% more
Athletics: 1.0
vs
Seattle: 0.8
Hits (L5)
+21.5% more
Athletics: 10.6
vs
Seattle: 8.7
Strikeouts (L5)
+20.3% more
Athletics: 7.5
vs
Seattle: 6.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
5.6
5
ATH Score
5.6
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.7
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
10.6 / 8.7
10.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
1.0 / 0.8
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
7.5 / 6.3
11.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
15.7 / 12.5
12.0 / 15.0
Walks
4.0 / 3.8
4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
Advantage
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
ATH
Advantage
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
SEA
ATH
SEA
ML
59%
95-67
50%
81-81
54%
87-74
52%
85-77
ATS
52%
84-78
60%
98-64
50%
81-80
59%
95-67
TTL
54%
84-73-5
56%
85-67-10
42%
66-90-5
53%
81-71-10
Contextual Game News
CC Sabathia's Divided Playoff Heart: Brewers Advance, Yankees Ex…
Cardinals Eye Another Dustin May-Style Signing to Bolster Rotati…
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
Guardians' Parker Messick Aims to Force Game 5 as Rookie Strikeo…
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Shrugs Off Yankee Stadium Boos: 'It Didn't Hur…