SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
21-14 | Road
6
ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
20-17 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Andres Munoz
#75 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Lawrence Butler
#4 | Right Field| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andres Munoz | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| Lawrence Butler | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
0.00
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
2
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
56%
ATHLETICS
44%
MARINERS
--
ATHLETICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
45%
Under 0
55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SEA -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
SEA By 1-2 runs
19.4%
SEA By 3-4 runs
15.6%
ATH By 1-2 runs
16.9%
ATH By 3-4 runs
11.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
5.64
SEATTLE
Athletics
4.9
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Athletics
6
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mariners
Win
56% Win Prob
D
Sim
Athletics
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Mariners (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.7
C
Sim
Athletics (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 13, 2026
SEA @ ATH
7 - 8
Sep 12, 2026
SEA @ ATH
19 - 1
Sep 11, 2026
SEA @ ATH
5 - 6
Sep 6, 2026
ATH @ SEA
0 - 2
Sep 5, 2026
ATH @ SEA
6 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Athletics
ATH
162
Games Played
162
4.10
Runs / Game
▲
4.31
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.245
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.317
.379
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.402
.693
OPS
▲
.719
182
Home Runs
▲
194
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+70.0% more
Seattle: 0.8
vs
Athletics: 0.1
Home Runs (L5)
+17.0% more
Seattle: 0.9
vs
Athletics: 0.7
Strikeouts (L5)
+33.5% more
Athletics: 8.7
vs
Seattle: 6.5
Hits (L5)
+13.7% more
Athletics: 10.4
vs
Seattle: 9.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
5.6
6
ATH Score
4.9
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.8
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
10.4 / 9.1
10.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
0.7 / 0.9
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.7 / 6.5
7.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
14.5 / 13.3
16.0 / 17.0
Walks
4.0 / 3.9
3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
Advantage
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
ATH
Advantage
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
SEA
ATH
SEA
ML
59%
95-67
50%
81-81
54%
87-74
52%
85-77
ATS
52%
84-78
60%
98-64
50%
81-80
59%
95-67
TTL
54%
84-73-5
56%
85-67-10
42%
66-90-5
53%
81-71-10
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