TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
18-19 | Road
0
BOSTON
RED SOXBOS
19-19 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jacob Latz
#67 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Garrett Whitlock
#22 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Latz | None-None | 4.09 | -- | 2.2 | 4 |
| Garrett Whitlock | None-None | 3.48 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.09
ERA
Ldr 3.48
--
WHIP
--
2.2 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
4 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
2
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
49%
RED SOX
51%
RANGERS
--
RED SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
56%
Under 0
44%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Texas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around TEX -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)
TEX By 1-2 runs
19.6%
TEX By 3-4 runs
16.5%
BOS By 1-2 runs
16.1%
BOS By 3-4 runs
10.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas
4.77
TEXAS
Boston
3.68
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Texas
4
TEXAS
Boston
6
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rangers
Loss
49% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Sox
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rangers (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.1
D
Sim
Red Sox (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 17, 2026
BOS @ TEX
4 - 3
Sep 16, 2026
BOS @ TEX
3 - 7
Sep 15, 2026
BOS @ TEX
2 - 4
Jun 14, 2026
TEX @ BOS
6 - 4
Jun 13, 2026
TEX @ BOS
3 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas
TEX
vs
Boston
BOS
162
▲
Games Played
2
4.15
▲
Runs / Game
1.00
.242
▲
Avg (AVG)
.117
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.159
.396
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.250
.713
▲
OPS
.409
183
▲
Home Runs
2
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+98.9% more
Texas: 183.0
vs
Boston: 2.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+75.9% more
Texas: 4.2
vs
Boston: 1.0
OPS (Season)
+30.4%
Texas: 71.3%
vs
Boston: 40.9%
On-Base Pct (Season)
+15.8%
Texas: 31.7%
vs
Boston: 15.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEX Score
4.8
0
BOS Score
3.7
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.4
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.2 / 9.6
6.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
1.5 / 0.8
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
7.2 / 5.4
3.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
15.6 / 13.4
10.0 / 5.0
Walks
2.5 / 1.8
6.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
BOS
Advantage
87-77-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
Advantage
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
BOS
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
BOS
74-86-4
O: 46.3% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
TEX
BOS
TEX
ML
50%
80-80
53%
86-76
47%
76-87
57%
91-70
ATS
58%
93-67
57%
92-70
48%
79-84
61%
98-63
TTL
46%
72-83-5
53%
78-70-14
47%
74-83-6
55%
81-66-14
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