LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
25-12 | Road
3
ARIZONA
DIAMONDBACKSARI
19-18 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jack Dreyer
#86 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Kevin Ginkel
#37 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Dreyer | None-None | 2.86 | -- | 3.0 | 1 |
| Kevin Ginkel | None-None | 6.23 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.86 Ldr
ERA
6.23
--
WHIP
--
3.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
66%
DIAMONDBACKS
34%
DODGERS
--
DIAMONDBACKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
59%
Under 0
41%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
ARIZONA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Arizona)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around ARI -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARI)
LAD By 1-2 runs
17.8%
LAD By 3-4 runs
12.5%
ARI By 1-2 runs
19.0%
ARI By 3-4 runs
14.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
5.6
LOS ANGELES
Arizona
5.95
ARIZONA
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Arizona
6
ARIZONA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Diamondbacks
Win
34% Win Prob
D
Sim
Diamondbacks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Diamondbacks (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.4
D
Sim
Diamondbacks (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 11.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 9, 2026
LAD @ ARI
2 - 4
Aug 8, 2026
LAD @ ARI
2 - 1
Aug 7, 2026
LAD @ ARI
3 - 4
Jul 12, 2026
ARI @ LAD
5 - 3
Jul 11, 2026
ARI @ LAD
9 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAD
vs
Arizona
ARI
162
Games Played
162
4.94
▲
Runs / Game
4.56
.257
▲
Avg (AVG)
.246
.338
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.318
.424
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.402
.762
▲
OPS
.720
204
▲
Home Runs
166
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+26.4% more
Arizona: 3.7
vs
Los Angeles: 3.0
Home Runs (L5)
+42.0% more
Los Angeles: 1.5
vs
Arizona: 0.9
Errors (L5)
+41.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.9
vs
Arizona: 0.4
Total Bases (L5)
+35.9% more
Los Angeles: 18.6
vs
Arizona: 11.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAD Score
5.6
3
ARI Score
6.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.9
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.7 / 10.6
9.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 1.5
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
7.8 / 10.1
9.0 / 5.0
Total Bases
11.9 / 18.6
17.0 / 13.0
Walks
3.7 / 3.0
3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
ARI
86-76-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
ARI
Advantage
(52.5%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
ARI
71-85-6
O: 45.5% / U: 54.5%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARI
LAD
ARI
LAD
ML
54%
87-74
56%
92-73
54%
86-74
48%
79-87
ATS
57%
91-70
59%
98-67
56%
89-71
43%
72-94
TTL
52%
80-73-8
48%
77-82-6
49%
73-77-9
44%
70-90-6
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