NEW YORK
YANKEESNYY
22-17 | Road
12
ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
21-19 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Ryan Yarbrough
#33 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Hogan Harris
#36 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Yarbrough | None-None | 3.70 | -- | 5.0 | 2 |
| Hogan Harris | None-None | 4.38 | -- | 1.2 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.70 Ldr
ERA
4.38
--
WHIP
--
5.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.2
2
K (Strikeouts)
2
AI Model Win Probability
YANKEES
54%
ATHLETICS
46%
YANKEES
--
ATHLETICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
53%
Under 0
47%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around NYY -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYY)
NYY By 1-2 runs
19.7%
NYY By 3-4 runs
17.2%
ATH By 1-2 runs
15.3%
ATH By 3-4 runs
9.5%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
5.64
NEW YORK
Athletics
4.24
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Athletics
6
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Yankees
Win
54% Win Prob
D
Sim
Athletics
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Yankees (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.4
C
Sim
Athletics (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 31, 2026
NYY @ ATH
13 - 8
May 30, 2026
NYY @ ATH
4 - 6
May 29, 2026
NYY @ ATH
8 - 2
Apr 9, 2026
ATH @ NYY
1 - 0
Apr 8, 2026
ATH @ NYY
3 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
New York
NYY
vs
Athletics
ATH
1
Games Played
▲
162
9.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.31
.375
▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.447
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.594
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.402
1.041
▲
OPS
.719
2
Home Runs
▲
194
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+52.1% more
New York: 9.0
vs
Athletics: 4.3
Home Runs (L5)
+49.2% more
New York: 2.7
vs
Athletics: 1.4
OPS (Season)
+32.2%
New York: 1.0%
vs
Athletics: 71.9%
Slugging Pct (Season)
+19.2%
New York: 59.4%
vs
Athletics: 40.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYY Score
5.6
12
ATH Score
4.2
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.8 / 0.7
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
10.8 / 9.0
7.0 / 15.0
Home Runs
1.4 / 2.7
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.8 / 10.4
10.0 / 4.0
Total Bases
17.4 / 19.6
10.0 / 23.0
Walks
4.3 / 2.3
5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYY
Advantage
95-71-0
(57.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYY
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
NYY
ATH
NYY
ML
59%
95-67
47%
76-85
54%
87-74
52%
85-77
ATS
52%
84-78
59%
95-66
50%
81-80
53%
86-76
TTL
54%
84-73-5
53%
81-73-7
42%
66-90-5
53%
82-72-7
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