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MILWAUKEE

BREWERSMIL

20-21  |  Road

0
FINAL
Mon, May 12 • 6:10 PM ET
Progressive Field
View Odds Details →

CLEVELAND

GUARDIANSCLE

23-17  |  Home

5
Probable Pitchers
Jake Bauers
STARTING PITCHER

Jake Bauers

#9 | First Base
@
Hunter Gaddis
STARTING PITCHER

Hunter Gaddis

#33 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jake Bauers None-None -- -- -- --
Hunter Gaddis None-None 0.56 -- 1.0 2
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 0.56
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) 2
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
41%
📊
GUARDIANS
59%
BREWERS --
GUARDIANS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 75%
Under 0 25%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Milwaukee)
BrewersMIL (-3.5) 0 GuardiansCLE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Brewers Cover

60.2%

Guardians Cover

39.8%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)

MIL By 1-2 runs

19.6%

MIL By 3-4 runs

16.4%

CLE By 1-2 runs

16.2%

CLE By 3-4 runs

10.5%

AI Model Projected Score
4.57
MILWAUKEE
3.54
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
3
MILWAUKEE
4
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Brewers Loss
41% Win Prob
D
Sim Guardians Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Brewers (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
B
Sim Guardians (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.1
B
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 18, 2026 CLE @ MIL 4 - 2
Jun 17, 2026 CLE @ MIL 4 - 9
Jun 16, 2026 CLE @ MIL 1 - 2
May 14, 2025 MIL @ CLE 9 - 5
May 13, 2025 MIL @ CLE 0 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee MIL
vs
Cleveland CLE
162
Games Played
162
5.14 ▲
Runs / Game
4.19
.258 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.239
.341 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.316
.403 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.380
.743 ▲
OPS
.696
154
Home Runs
▲ 162
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +51.9% more
Milwaukee: 1.4 vs Cleveland: 0.7
Runs per Game (Season) +18.5% more
Milwaukee: 5.1 vs Cleveland: 4.2
Errors (L5) +18.0% more
Milwaukee: 0.8 vs Cleveland: 0.6
Total Bases (L5) +13.8% more
Milwaukee: 10.9 vs Cleveland: 9.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIL Score 4.6 0
CLE Score 3.5 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.6 / 0.8 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 6.1 / 6.1 6.0 / 7.0
Home Runs 0.7 / 1.4 0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 9.5 / 6.6 8.0 / 10.0
Total Bases 9.4 / 10.9 7.0 / 9.0
Walks 3.9 / 3.7 5.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL Advantage
106-60-0 (63.9%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
CLE
87-79-0 (52.4%)
Margin: 0.1 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
CLE
(50.6%)
Margin: 0.1 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7% Total +/-: +0.8
CLE
81-84-1
O: 49.1% / U: 50.9% Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
MIL
CLE
MIL
ML
54% 87-75
62% 101-61
49% 80-83
52% 84-78
ATS
57% 93-69
58% 94-68
58% 95-68
48% 78-84
TTL
56% 89-71-2
40% 62-92-8
44% 70-90-2
50% 77-77-8
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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