COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
7-34 | Road
1
TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
21-21 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Zach Agnos
#36 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Ezequiel Duran
#20 | Shortstop| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Agnos | None-None | 1.64 | -- | 0.2 | 1 |
| Ezequiel Duran | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
1.64
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
0.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
1
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKIES
17%
RANGERS
83%
ROCKIES
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
45%
Under 0
55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around COL -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
COL By 1-2 runs
19.3%
COL By 3-4 runs
15.3%
TEX By 1-2 runs
17.2%
TEX By 3-4 runs
11.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
3.74
COLORADO
Texas
3.12
TEXAS
Simulated Score
Colorado
3
COLORADO
Texas
6
TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rockies
Loss
17% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rockies (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.6
D
Sim
Rangers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 20, 2026
TEX @ COL
5 - 4
May 19, 2026
TEX @ COL
10 - 0
May 18, 2026
TEX @ COL
6 - 7
May 14, 2025
COL @ TEX
3 - 8
May 13, 2025
COL @ TEX
1 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Colorado
COL
vs
Texas
TEX
162
Games Played
162
4.64
▲
Runs / Game
4.15
.254
▲
Avg (AVG)
.242
.322
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.417
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.396
.739
▲
OPS
.713
180
Home Runs
▲
183
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+86.0% more
Colorado: 0.9
vs
Texas: 0.1
Hits (L5)
+15.4% more
Colorado: 8.3
vs
Texas: 7.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+10.6% more
Colorado: 4.6
vs
Texas: 4.2
OPS (Season)
+2.6%
Colorado: 73.9%
vs
Texas: 71.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
3.7
1
TEX Score
3.1
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.9
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.0 / 8.3
8.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
1.8 / 0.9
2.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.2 / 6.5
8.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
13.6 / 13.5
15.0 / 6.0
Walks
2.9 / 3.0
3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
TEX
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COL
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEX
COL
TEX
COL
ML
53%
86-76
60%
97-64
57%
91-70
55%
88-73
ATS
57%
92-70
60%
97-64
61%
98-63
52%
83-78
TTL
53%
78-70-14
60%
93-62-6
55%
81-66-14
50%
77-78-6
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