NEW YORK
YANKEESNYY
24-17 | Road
1
SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
22-18 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Tim Hill
#41 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Andres Munoz
#75 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hill | None-None | 3.86 | -- | -- | -- |
| Andres Munoz | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.86
ERA
Ldr 0.00
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
YANKEES
54%
MARINERS
46%
YANKEES
--
MARINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
12.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
75%
Under 0
25%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.6
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.6 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around NYY -4.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYY)
NYY By 1-2 runs
14.9%
NYY By 3-4 runs
19.1%
SEA By 1-2 runs
6.4%
SEA By 3-4 runs
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
8.38
NEW YORK
Seattle
3.83
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Seattle
5
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Yankees
Loss
54% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mariners
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Yankees (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -4.6
D
Sim
Mariners (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 12.2
B
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 13, 2026
SEA @ NYY
1 - 0
Aug 12, 2026
SEA @ NYY
5 - 10
Aug 11, 2026
SEA @ NYY
1 - 4
Apr 1, 2026
NYY @ SEA
5 - 3
Mar 31, 2026
NYY @ SEA
5 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
New York
NYY
vs
Seattle
SEA
1
Games Played
▲
162
9.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.10
.375
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.447
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.594
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.379
1.041
▲
OPS
.693
2
Home Runs
▲
182
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+54.4% more
New York: 9.0
vs
Seattle: 4.1
Total Bases (L5)
+47.4% more
New York: 23.8
vs
Seattle: 12.6
Hits (L5)
+46.6% more
New York: 12.3
vs
Seattle: 6.6
Home Runs (L5)
+43.4% more
New York: 2.7
vs
Seattle: 1.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYY Score
8.4
1
SEA Score
3.8
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.3
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.6 / 12.3
6.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
1.6 / 2.7
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
7.6 / 8.9
13.0 / 13.0
Total Bases
12.6 / 23.8
7.0 / 7.0
Walks
4.3 / 2.7
3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYY
Advantage
95-71-0
(57.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYY
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
NYY
SEA
NYY
ML
50%
81-81
47%
76-85
52%
85-77
52%
85-77
ATS
60%
98-64
59%
95-66
59%
95-67
53%
86-76
TTL
56%
85-67-10
53%
81-73-7
53%
81-71-10
53%
82-72-7
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