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ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

21-20  |  Road

11
FINAL
Tue, May 13 • 10:10 PM ET
Dodger Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

27-14  |  Home

1
Probable Pitchers
Jeffrey Springs
STARTING PITCHER

Jeffrey Springs

#59 | Starting Pitcher
@
Miguel Rojas
STARTING PITCHER

Miguel Rojas

#72 | Second Base
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jeffrey Springs None-None 4.27 -- 7.0 4
Miguel Rojas None-None 21.00 -- 1.0 --
None-None W-L None-None
4.27 Ldr ERA 21.00
-- WHIP --
7.0 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
4 Ldr K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
35%
📊
DODGERS
65%
ATHLETICS --
DODGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
13.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.1
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.1 points (Los Angeles)
AthleticsATH (-3.5) 0 DodgersLAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Athletics Cover

29.9%

Dodgers Cover

70.1%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -2.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

ATH By 1-2 runs

13.2%

ATH By 3-4 runs

7.5%

LAD By 1-2 runs

19.5%

LAD By 3-4 runs

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
5.45
ATHLETICS
7.56
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
3
ATHLETICS
7
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Dodgers Loss
65% Win Prob
C
Sim Dodgers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Dodgers (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.1
D
Sim Dodgers (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 13.0
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jul 1, 2026 LAD @ ATH 1 - 7
Jun 30, 2026 LAD @ ATH 9 - 3
Jun 29, 2026 LAD @ ATH 9 - 4
May 15, 2025 ATH @ LAD 2 - 19
May 14, 2025 ATH @ LAD 3 - 9
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics ATH
vs
Los Angeles LAD
162
Games Played
162
4.31
Runs / Game
▲ 4.94
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲ .257
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .338
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .424
.719
OPS
▲ .762
194
Home Runs
▲ 204
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +29.4% more
Los Angeles: 12.3 vs Athletics: 9.5
Total Bases (L5) +28.8% more
Los Angeles: 19.3 vs Athletics: 15.0
Runs per Game (Season) +14.6% more
Los Angeles: 4.9 vs Athletics: 4.3
Home Runs (L5) +9.7% more
Los Angeles: 1.4 vs Athletics: 1.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ATH Score 5.5 11
LAD Score 7.6 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.2 / 0.5 1.0 / 1.0
Hits 12.3 / 9.5 8.0 / 18.0
Home Runs 1.4 / 1.2 0.0 / 5.0
Strikeouts 7.5 / 9.2 11.0 / 5.0
Total Bases 19.3 / 15.0 12.0 / 36.0
Walks 2.6 / 4.5 1.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH Advantage
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
ATH
LAD
ATH
ML
56% 92-73
59% 95-67
48% 79-87
54% 87-74
ATS
59% 98-67
52% 84-78
43% 72-94
50% 81-80
TTL
48% 77-82-6
54% 84-73-5
44% 70-90-6
42% 66-90-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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